Public Health Modeling Publications

2025

Evaluating the association between routine pneumococcal vaccination and COVID-19 severity among older adults in the United States: A case control study
Prunas O, Tiu A, Shioda K, Bansal S, Weinberger D. Evaluating the association between routine pneumococcal vaccination and COVID-19 severity among older adults in the United States: A case control study. Vaccine X 2025, 24: 100622. DOI: 10.1016/j.jvacx.2025.100622.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Integrating genomic and spatial analyses to describe tuberculosis transmission: a scoping review
Lan Y, Rancu I, Chitwood M, Sobkowiak B, Nyhan K, Lin H, Wu C, Mathema B, Brown T, Colijn C, Warren J, Cohen T. Integrating genomic and spatial analyses to describe tuberculosis transmission: a scoping review. The Lancet Microbe 2025, 101094. PMID: 40228509, DOI: 10.1016/j.lanmic.2025.101094.
Peer-Reviewed Reviews, Practice Guidelines, Standards, and Consensus Statements
Concepts
Perinatal Exposures to Ambient Fine Particulate Matter and Outdoor Artificial Light at Night and Risk of Pediatric Papillary Thyroid Cancer.
Deziel NC, Wang R, Warren JL, Dinauer C, Ogilvie J, Clark CJ, Zhong C, Wiemels JL, Morimoto L, Metayer C, Ma X. Perinatal Exposures to Ambient Fine Particulate Matter and Outdoor Artificial Light at Night and Risk of Pediatric Papillary Thyroid Cancer. Environ Health Perspect 2025 PMID: 40209106, DOI: 10.1289/EHP14849.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Optimal evaluation policies to identify students with reading disabilities
Suresh A, Kaplan E, Pinker E, Gruen J. Optimal evaluation policies to identify students with reading disabilities. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences 2025, 98: 102116. DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102116.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Floods and cause-specific mortality in the United States applying a triply robust approach
Chu L, Warren J, Spatz E, Lowe S, Lu Y, Ma X, Ross J, Krumholz H, Chen K. Floods and cause-specific mortality in the United States applying a triply robust approach. Nature Communications 2025, 16: 2853. PMID: 40122917, PMCID: PMC11930965, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-58236-0.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
MeSH Keywords and Concepts
Reporting of Fairness Metrics in Clinical Risk Prediction Models Used for Precision Health: Scoping Review
Rountree L, Lin Y, Liu C, Salvatore M, Admon A, Nallamothu B, Singh K, Basu A, Bu F, Mukherjee B. Reporting of Fairness Metrics in Clinical Risk Prediction Models Used for Precision Health: Scoping Review. Online Journal Of Public Health Informatics 2025, 17: e66598. PMID: 39962044, DOI: 10.2196/66598.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Short-term exposure to ambient nitrogen dioxide and fine particulate matter and cause-specific mortality: A causal modeling approach in four regions
Marb A, Ma Y, Nobile F, Dubrow R, Kinney P, Stafoggia M, Chen K, Peters A, Breitner S. Short-term exposure to ambient nitrogen dioxide and fine particulate matter and cause-specific mortality: A causal modeling approach in four regions. Environmental Pollution 2025, 372: 126059. PMID: 40089139, DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2025.126059.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Precision projections of the delay of resistance mutations in non-small cell lung cancer via suppression of APOBEC
Nousias O, Mandell J, Anderson K, Townsend J. Precision projections of the delay of resistance mutations in non-small cell lung cancer via suppression of APOBEC. Lung Cancer 2025, 202: 108487. PMID: 40090261, DOI: 10.1016/j.lungcan.2025.108487.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Decline in Community-Acquired Alveolar Pneumonia Positive for Respiratory Syncytial Virus in Hospitalized Children Following Implementation of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV) in Israel
Dagan R, van der Beek B, Grupel T, Greenberg D, Keren-Naus A, Ben-Shimol S, Weinberger D. Decline in Community-Acquired Alveolar Pneumonia Positive for Respiratory Syncytial Virus in Hospitalized Children Following Implementation of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV) in Israel. Clinical Infectious Diseases 2025, ciaf102. PMID: 40052957, DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaf102.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Global estimates of rotavirus vaccine efficacy and effectiveness: a rapid review and meta-regression analysis
Prunas O, Asare E, Sajewski E, Li Y, Pithawala Z, Weinberger D, Warren J, Armah G, Cunliffe N, Iturriza-Gómara M, Lopman B, Pitzer V. Global estimates of rotavirus vaccine efficacy and effectiveness: a rapid review and meta-regression analysis. EClinicalMedicine 2025, 81: 103122. PMID: 40115174, PMCID: PMC11925534, DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2025.103122.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Estimated Effectiveness of Nirsevimab Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus
Xu H, Aparicio C, Wats A, Araujo B, Pitzer V, Warren J, Shapiro E, Niccolai L, Weinberger D, Oliveira C. Estimated Effectiveness of Nirsevimab Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus. JAMA Network Open 2025, 8: e250380. PMID: 40063022, PMCID: PMC11894488, DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.0380.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
MeSH Keywords and Concepts
Mpox vaccination strategies in DR Congo – Author's reply
Gonsalves G. Mpox vaccination strategies in DR Congo – Author's reply. The Lancet Global Health 2025, 13: e418. PMID: 40021299, DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(25)00004-x.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Estimating the Serotype-Specific Association Between the Concentration of Vaccine-Induced Serum Antibodies and Protection Against Pneumococcal Colonization
Wong A, Warren J, Fitch L, Perniciaro S, Dagan R, Weinberger D. Estimating the Serotype-Specific Association Between the Concentration of Vaccine-Induced Serum Antibodies and Protection Against Pneumococcal Colonization. The Journal Of Infectious Diseases 2025, jiaf106. PMID: 40036886, DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiaf106.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Outcome adaptive propensity score methods for handling censoring and high-dimensionality: Application to insurance claims.
Du J, Yu Y, Zhang M, Wu Z, Ryan A, Mukherjee B. Outcome adaptive propensity score methods for handling censoring and high-dimensionality: Application to insurance claims. Statistical Methods In Medical Research 2025, 9622802241306856. PMID: 40013476, DOI: 10.1177/09622802241306856.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Viral genomic features predict Orthopoxvirus reservoir hosts
Tseng K, Koehler H, Becker D, Gibb R, Carlson C, Pilar Fernandez M, Seifert S. Viral genomic features predict Orthopoxvirus reservoir hosts. Communications Biology 2025, 8: 309. PMID: 40000824, PMCID: PMC11862092, DOI: 10.1038/s42003-025-07746-0.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
MeSH Keywords and Concepts
Short‐Term Associations Between Ambient Ozone and Acute Myocardial Infarction Onset Among Younger Patients: Results From the VIRGO Study
Zhang S, Chu L, Lu Y, Wei J, Dubrow R, Chaudhry S, Spatz E, Krumholz H, Chen K. Short‐Term Associations Between Ambient Ozone and Acute Myocardial Infarction Onset Among Younger Patients: Results From the VIRGO Study. GeoHealth 2025, 9: e2024gh001234. PMID: 39968338, PMCID: PMC11833228, DOI: 10.1029/2024gh001234.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
EnvironMental Health: A Framework for an Emerging Field at the Intersection of the Environment and Mental Health Crises
Ratjen L, Goddard E, Gilcher E, Nguyen B, Kelley M, Feldman H, Akalaonu K, Nyhan K, Backhaus A, Lascurain M, Wyrtzen N, Smith S, Prabhu M, Lowe S, Chen K, Zimmerman J, Anastas P. EnvironMental Health: A Framework for an Emerging Field at the Intersection of the Environment and Mental Health Crises. GeoHealth 2025, 9: e2024gh001254. PMID: 39958831, PMCID: PMC11826329, DOI: 10.1029/2024gh001254.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Potential Clinical and Economic Impacts of Cutbacks in the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief Program in South Africa : A Modeling Analysis.
Gandhi A, Bekker L, Paltiel A, Hyle E, Ciaranello A, Pillay Y, Freedberg K, Neilan A. Potential Clinical and Economic Impacts of Cutbacks in the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief Program in South Africa : A Modeling Analysis. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2025 PMID: 39932732, DOI: 10.7326/annals-24-01104.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Observational research in epidemic settings: a roadmap to reform
Ricotta E, Carrillo F, Angelli-Nichols S, Barugahare J, Benton A, Carlson C, Chang-Rabley E, Dean N, Duda S, Federer L, Fill M, LeRoy E, Linton N, Lipsitch M, Mathur M, Phelan A, Rid A, Rosen J, Sauer L, Sullivan S, Zendt M, Evans N. Observational research in epidemic settings: a roadmap to reform. BMJ Global Health 2025, 10: e017981. PMID: 39929534, PMCID: PMC11815396, DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-017981.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
MeSH Keywords and Concepts
Ten quick tips to build a Model Life Cycle
Poisot T, Becker D, Brookson C, Graeden E, Ryan S, Turon G, Carlson C. Ten quick tips to build a Model Life Cycle. PLOS Computational Biology 2025, 21: e1012731. PMID: 39899593, PMCID: PMC11790144, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012731.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Association between city-level sociodemographic and health factors and the prevalence of antimicrobial-resistant gonorrhea in the US, 2000–2019: a spatial–temporal modeling study
Li J, Murray-Watson R, St Cyr S, Grad Y, Warren J, Yaesoubi R. Association between city-level sociodemographic and health factors and the prevalence of antimicrobial-resistant gonorrhea in the US, 2000–2019: a spatial–temporal modeling study. The Lancet Regional Health - Americas 2025, 43: 101006. PMID: 39968293, PMCID: PMC11834109, DOI: 10.1016/j.lana.2025.101006.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
Long-term drought and risk of infant mortality in Africa: A cross-sectional study
Wang P, Rogne T, Warren J, Asare E, Akum R, Toure N, Ross J, Chen K. Long-term drought and risk of infant mortality in Africa: A cross-sectional study. PLOS Medicine 2025, 22: e1004516. PMID: 39888958, PMCID: PMC11785314, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004516.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
MeSH Keywords and Concepts
Social mixing patterns of United States healthcare personnel at a quaternary health center: a prospective observational study
Pischel L, Aguolu O, Ahmed N, Campbell M, Borg R, Duckwall C, Willebrand K, Zaleski A, Paintsil E, Muenker M, Malik A, Kiti M, Warren J, Jenness S, Lopman B, Belsky J, Martinello R, Yildirim I, Ko A, Omer S. Social mixing patterns of United States healthcare personnel at a quaternary health center: a prospective observational study. Infection Control And Hospital Epidemiology 2025, 46: 289-297. PMID: 39880795, PMCID: PMC11883655, DOI: 10.1017/ice.2024.234.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
A framework for managing infectious diseases in rural areas in low- and middle-income countries in the face of climate change—East Africa as a case study
Worsley-Tonks K, Angwenyi S, Carlson C, Cissé G, Deem S, Ferguson A, Fèvre E, Kimaro E, Kimiti D, Martins D, Merbold L, Mottet A, Murray S, Muturi M, Potter T, Prasad S, Wild H, Hassell J. A framework for managing infectious diseases in rural areas in low- and middle-income countries in the face of climate change—East Africa as a case study. PLOS Global Public Health 2025, 5: e0003892. PMID: 39883787, PMCID: PMC11781624, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0003892.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts
379. Potential clinical and economic impact of cutbacks in the United States President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief Program in South Africa: a modelling analysis
Gandhi A, Bekker L, Paltiel A, Hyle E, Ciaranello A, Pillay Y, Freedberg K, Neilan A. 379. Potential clinical and economic impact of cutbacks in the United States President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief Program in South Africa: a modelling analysis. Open Forum Infectious Diseases 2025, 12: ofae631.010. PMCID: PMC11778235, DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofae631.010.
Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Concepts

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