2022
Virus isolation data improve host predictions for New World rodent orthohantaviruses
Mull N, Carlson C, Forbes K, Becker D. Virus isolation data improve host predictions for New World rodent orthohantaviruses. Journal Of Animal Ecology 2022, 91: 1290-1302. PMID: 35362148, DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.13694.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRisk of pathogen spilloverHost associationsMulti-host pathogensRT-PCR dataVirus isolation dataBRT modelsTrait profilesEcological traitsReservoir host speciesPathogen spilloverRT-PCRHost speciesPathogen maintenancePathogen hostsRegression treesBRTHost predictionHost competenceHantavirus cardiopulmonary syndromeZoonotic reservoirsPrioritizing surveillanceRodent phylogenyMultiple data typesIsolation dataMuroid rodents
2020
embarcadero: Species distribution modelling with Bayesian additive regression trees in r
Carlson C. embarcadero: Species distribution modelling with Bayesian additive regression trees in r. Methods In Ecology And Evolution 2020, 11: 850-858. DOI: 10.1111/2041-210x.13389.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchSpecies distribution modelsBayesian additive regression treesAdditive regression treesDistribution modelVariable selection procedureSets of treesRegression treesAutomated variable selection procedurePosterior distributionDisease transmission riskEcological applicationsEcological problemsRegression tree methodBinary outcomesSelection procedureTreesSpeciesEcologistsProbabilityPriorsClassification probabilities
2019
The global distribution of Bacillus anthracis and associated anthrax risk to humans, livestock and wildlife
Carlson C, Kracalik I, Ross N, Alexander K, Hugh-Jones M, Fegan M, Elkin B, Epp T, Shury T, Zhang W, Bagirova M, Getz W, Blackburn J. The global distribution of Bacillus anthracis and associated anthrax risk to humans, livestock and wildlife. Nature Microbiology 2019, 4: 1337-1343. PMID: 31086311, DOI: 10.1038/s41564-019-0435-4.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAnthrax riskWild ungulatesDistribution of B. anthracisInadequate surveillance systemsGlobal distributionOccurrence datasetConservation effortsLivestock vulnerabilityTemperate landsGrazing livestockHuman healthGeographic extentGlobal totalRegression treesWildlifeUngulatesVulnerable regionsLivestockAnthrax outbreaksNorth AmericaRainfed systemsBillion peopleLandscapeLandTemperate