2023
Summary and Concluding Remarks: Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories
Levy D, Tam J, Jeon J, Holford T, Fleischer N, Meza R. Summary and Concluding Remarks: Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s72-s79. PMID: 36935130, PMCID: PMC11193149, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.12.007.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRace/ethnicitySmoking patternsCohort methodologyTobacco control strategiesMortality RRSmoking historyMiddle-income countriesWorking GroupSmoking trendsHealth disparitiesCancer interventionTobacco controlCohort approachPublic healthEducation groupFamily incomeGroupEthnicitySociodemographic analysisSmokingEducational attainmentUsing the Past to Understand the Future of U.S. and Global Smoking Disparities: A Birth Cohort Perspective
Tam J, Levy D, Feuer E, Jeon J, Holford T, Meza R. Using the Past to Understand the Future of U.S. and Global Smoking Disparities: A Birth Cohort Perspective. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s1-s10. PMID: 36781373, PMCID: PMC10033336, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.12.003.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchPatterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories by Race and Ethnicity in the U.S.
Meza R, Cao P, Jeon J, Fleischer N, Holford T, Levy D, Tam J. Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories by Race and Ethnicity in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s11-s21. PMID: 36653232, PMCID: PMC10362802, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.06.022.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAmerican IndiansBlack populationCessation probabilitiesNative populationsRace/ethnicityNon-Hispanic white populationNon-Hispanic black populationPacific IslandersBirth cohortNon-Hispanic whitesAlaskan Native populationsWhite populationSmoking prevalenceIndiansNational Health Interview SurveyU.S. smoking prevalenceAlaskan NativesPatterns of smokingHealth Interview SurveyNon-Hispanic blacksIslandersNative individualsNon-Hispanic AsiansNativesSmoking historySmoking Histories by State in the U.S.
Holford T, McKay L, Jeon J, Tam J, Cao P, Fleischer N, Levy D, Meza R. Smoking Histories by State in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s42-s52. PMID: 36653233, PMCID: PMC11186469, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.08.018.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsCigarette SmokingHumansKentuckyPrevalenceSmoking CessationSurveys and QuestionnairesTobacco UseUnited StatesConceptsPack yearsSmoking historySmoking prevalenceBirth cohortSmoking initiationNational Health Interview SurveyMean smoking durationHealth Interview SurveyTobacco Use SupplementRecent birth cohortsTobacco control policiesCessation probabilitiesCigarette smokingSmoking trendsSmoking durationSmoking ratesState-specific trendsPrevalenceTobacco controlInterview SurveyCohortCessationDurationInitiationYears
2019
CP*Trends: An Online Tool for Comparing Cohort and Period Trends Across Cancer Sites
Holford TR, Chen HS, Annett D, Krapcho M, Dorogaeva A, Feuer EJ. CP*Trends: An Online Tool for Comparing Cohort and Period Trends Across Cancer Sites. American Journal Of Epidemiology 2019, 188: 1361-1370. PMID: 30989187, PMCID: PMC6601534, DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwz089.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsColorectal cancer incidenceCancer incidenceCancer sitesContribution of periodMale prostate cancerEnd Results (SEER) dataStudy of etiologyFemale lungCancer mortalityBronchial cancerProstate cancerCohortDisease controlRelevant exposuresIncidenceAge shiftLungCancerMortalityP scoreAgeResult dataPeriod trendsPeriodPercentage of deviance
2018
Smoking and Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States From 2015 to 2065: A Comparative Modeling Approach.
Jeon J, Holford TR, Levy DT, Feuer EJ, Cao P, Tam J, Clarke L, Clarke J, Kong CY, Meza R. Smoking and Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States From 2015 to 2065: A Comparative Modeling Approach. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2018, 169: 684-693. PMID: 30304504, PMCID: PMC6242740, DOI: 10.7326/m18-1250.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer mortalityTobacco control effortsCancer mortalityLung cancer ratesLung cancerCancer ratesLung cancer burdenLung cancer deathsLung cancer screeningSmoking-related diseasesU.S. populationNational Cancer InstituteLonger life expectancyCancer burdenSmoking patternsCancer deathCessation effortsCancer screeningTobacco useCancer InstituteSmokingAdditional preventionNatural historyMortalityCancerA spatiotemporal back‐calculation approach to estimate cancer incidence measures
Nautiyal N, Holford TR. A spatiotemporal back‐calculation approach to estimate cancer incidence measures. Statistics In Medicine 2018, 37: 4472-4489. PMID: 30155939, DOI: 10.1002/sim.7934.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2016
Comparison of Smoking History Patterns Among African American and White Cohorts in the United States Born 1890 to 1990.
Holford TR, Levy DT, Meza R. Comparison of Smoking History Patterns Among African American and White Cohorts in the United States Born 1890 to 1990. Nicotine & Tobacco Research 2016, 18 Suppl 1: s16-29. PMID: 26980861, PMCID: PMC5009449, DOI: 10.1093/ntr/ntv274.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsNational Health Interview SurveySmoking-related diseasesSmoking historyHealth Interview SurveySurgeon General's ReportBirth cohortCessation probabilitiesSmoking intensityAfrican AmericansUS National Health Interview SurveyInterview SurveyNumber of cigarettesHigh smoking prevalenceLower cessation ratesCurrent smoking behaviorLife course exposuresAdverse health effectsLower cessationSmoking exposureCessation ratesSmoking prevalenceHigh prevalenceGeneral's ReportSmoking behaviorYounger ageSpatiotemporal calibration and resolution refinement of output from deterministic models
Gilani O, McKay LA, Gregoire TG, Guan Y, Leaderer BP, Holford TR. Spatiotemporal calibration and resolution refinement of output from deterministic models. Statistics In Medicine 2016, 35: 2422-2440. PMID: 26790617, DOI: 10.1002/sim.6867.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsGrid-cell formatCurrent calibration techniquesSpatiotemporal calibrationModeling strategyCommunity Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modelAir quality modelsMultiscale Air Quality modelCalibration techniqueObserved measurementsPixel sizeSpatial resolutionGrid dataMonitoring stationsQuality modelDeterministic modelRegular gridAmbient nitrogen dioxide concentrationsDaily estimatesMeasurementsProcess of interestGridNitrogen dioxide concentrationsProcessPixelsDioxide concentration
2014
Patterns of Birth Cohort–Specific Smoking Histories, 1965–2009
Holford TR, Levy DT, McKay LA, Clarke L, Racine B, Meza R, Land S, Jeon J, Feuer EJ. Patterns of Birth Cohort–Specific Smoking Histories, 1965–2009. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2014, 46: e31-e37. PMID: 24439359, PMCID: PMC3951759, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2013.10.022.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleModels, StatisticalPrevalenceSmokingSmoking CessationUnited StatesConceptsSmoking historyBirth cohortU.S. National Health Interview SurveyNational Health Interview SurveySmoking-related mortalityHealth Interview SurveyTobacco control interventionsCurrent smoking behaviorAge-specific distributionSmoking statusSmoking patternsSmoking intensitySurvival differencesSmoking behaviorCohortControl interventionsDifferent birth cohortsDate of surveyInterview SurveyIntervention strategiesCohort modelSmokersAgePrevalenceSlow declineTobacco Control and the Reduction in Smoking-Related Premature Deaths in the United States, 1964-2012
Holford TR, Meza R, Warner KE, Meernik C, Jeon J, Moolgavkar SH, Levy DT. Tobacco Control and the Reduction in Smoking-Related Premature Deaths in the United States, 1964-2012. JAMA 2014, 311: 164-171. PMID: 24399555, PMCID: PMC4056770, DOI: 10.1001/jama.2013.285112.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsEffect of smokingAge 40 yearsSmoking-related mortalityYears of lifeTobacco controlPremature deathSmoking historySmoking-related premature deathsNational Health Interview SurveyCigarette smoking exposureSmoking-related deathsCigarette smoking historyFirst Surgeon General's reportLife expectancyMortality rate ratiosNational mortality ratesUS adult populationHealth Interview SurveyOverall health outcomesSurgeon General's ReportPublic health achievementsSmoking exposurePrimary outcomeSmoking statusCigarette smoking
2012
Chapter 12: Yale Lung Cancer Model
Holford TR, Ebisu K, McKay L, Oh C, Zheng T. Chapter 12: Yale Lung Cancer Model. Risk Analysis 2012, 32: s151-s165. PMID: 22882886, PMCID: PMC3662537, DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01754.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer deathsCarcinogenesis modelCancer deathLung cancer incidenceLung cancer modelTwo-stage clonal expansion modelCigarette smokingCancer incidenceCancer modelTobacco controlClonal expansion modelPopulation ratesCohort modelSmokingDeathHarmful effectsPopulation dataTemporal trendsMortalityObserved numberIncidenceControlChapter 4: Development of the Counterfactual Smoking Histories Used to Assess the Effects of Tobacco Control
Holford TR, Clark L. Chapter 4: Development of the Counterfactual Smoking Histories Used to Assess the Effects of Tobacco Control. Risk Analysis 2012, 32: s39-s50. PMID: 22882891, PMCID: PMC3490210, DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01759.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTobacco controlNational Health Interview SurveyLung cancer mortalityNumber of cigarettesLung cancer modelHealth Interview SurveySurveillance Modeling NetworkSurgeon General's ReportSmoking historyCessation ratesCigarette smokingCancer mortalityCancer modelCancer interventionInterview SurveySmokingPublic healthCigarettesReportControl programsGeneral's ReportControlMortalityWomenImpact of Reduced Tobacco Smoking on Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States During 1975–2000
Moolgavkar SH, Holford TR, Levy DT, Kong CY, Foy M, Clarke L, Jeon J, Hazelton WD, Meza R, Schultz F, McCarthy W, Boer R, Gorlova O, Gazelle GS, Kimmel M, McMahon PM, de Koning HJ, Feuer EJ. Impact of Reduced Tobacco Smoking on Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States During 1975–2000. Journal Of The National Cancer Institute 2012, 104: 541-548. PMID: 22423009, PMCID: PMC3317881, DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djs136.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer deathsLung cancer mortalityCancer deathSmoking behaviorCancer mortalityMajor public health problemTobacco controlPublic health problemTobacco control strategiesNumber of deathsSmoking historyTobacco smokingLung cancerGroups of investigatorsBirth cohortHealth problemsFirst reportSmokingMortalityDeathUnited StatesWomenMenCohortCancer
2004
Enhancing West Nile Virus Surveillance, United States - Volume 10, Number 6—June 2004 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC
Brownstein J, Holford T, Fish D. Enhancing West Nile Virus Surveillance, United States - Volume 10, Number 6—June 2004 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC. Emerging Infectious Diseases 2004, 10: 1129-1133. PMID: 15207069, PMCID: PMC3323153, DOI: 10.3201/eid1006.030457.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2000
Food group intake and the risk of oral epithelial dysplasia in a United States population
Morse D, Pendrys D, Katz R, Holford T, Krutchkoff D, Eisenberg E, Kosis D, Kerpel S, Freedman P, Mayne S. Food group intake and the risk of oral epithelial dysplasia in a United States population. Cancer Causes & Control 2000, 11: 713-720. PMID: 11065008, DOI: 10.1023/a:1008943904085.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdultAgedCase-Control StudiesDietEpitheliumFemaleFoodHumansMaleMiddle AgedMouth NeoplasmsRisk FactorsUnited StatesConceptsOral epithelial dysplasiaFood group intakesGroup intakesEpithelial dysplasiaOdds ratio point estimateDairy food intakeFood frequency questionnaireOral Pathology LaboratoryCase-control studyRole of dietBread/cerealsConsumption of fruitsAspects of dietUnited States populationIncident casesOral cancerOral carcinogenesisHistopathologic diagnosisLate effectsFood intakeAppointment datePotential covariatesLogistic regressionTelephone interviewsPathology laboratory
1998
Re: Cigarette Smoking and Changes in the Histopathology of Lung Cancer
Holford T, Tongzhang Z, T. S. Re: Cigarette Smoking and Changes in the Histopathology of Lung Cancer. Journal Of The National Cancer Institute 1998, 90: 783-783. PMID: 9605651, DOI: 10.1093/jnci/90.10.783.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
1996
The Continuing Increase in Adenocarcinoma of the Uterine Cervix: A Birth Cohort Phenomenon
ZHENG T, HOLFORD T, MA Z, CHEN Y, LIU W, WARD B, BOYLE P. The Continuing Increase in Adenocarcinoma of the Uterine Cervix: A Birth Cohort Phenomenon. International Journal Of Epidemiology 1996, 25: 252-258. PMID: 9119549, DOI: 10.1093/ije/25.2.252.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsUterine cervixInvasive adenocarcinomaBirth cohortStrong birth cohort effectTime trendsBirth-cohort patternEnd Results (SEER) dataBirth-cohort phenomenonAnalytical epidemiological studiesBirth cohort effectsRecent birth cohortsObserved time trendsYoung white womenRisk factorsEpidemiological studiesCervixAdenocarcinomaCohort patternsCohort phenomenonCohortWhite womenCohort modelCohort effectsObserved increaseResult data
1992
A reversal in the long‐term increase in deaths attributable to malignant melanoma
Roush G, McKay L, Holford T. A reversal in the long‐term increase in deaths attributable to malignant melanoma. Cancer 1992, 69: 1714-1720. PMID: 1551056, DOI: 10.1002/1097-0142(19920401)69:7<1714::aid-cncr2820690712>3.0.co;2-z.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
1991
Trends in female breast cancer in Connecticut and the United States
Holford T, Roush G, McKay L. Trends in female breast cancer in Connecticut and the United States. Journal Of Clinical Epidemiology 1991, 44: 29-39. PMID: 1986055, DOI: 10.1016/0895-4356(91)90198-i.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAge FactorsBreast NeoplasmsCohort StudiesConnecticutFemaleHumansIncidenceMenopauseUnited StatesConceptsBreast cancer mortalityBirth-cohort patternFemale breast cancerBreast cancerCancer mortalityCohort patternsPostmenopausal breast cancerInvasive breast cancerBlind biopsyBirth cohortMortalityCancerCohort modelingEarly detectionPrior reportsImproved treatmentTime trendsCohortU.S. mortalityModest declineLittle evidenceImportant differencesBiopsyIncidenceUnderdetection