Featured Publications
Climate change increases cross-species viral transmission risk
Carlson C, Albery G, Merow C, Trisos C, Zipfel C, Eskew E, Olival K, Ross N, Bansal S. Climate change increases cross-species viral transmission risk. Nature 2022, 607: 555-562. PMID: 35483403, DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-04788-w.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsViral sharingRange shiftsRange shifts of speciesHuman population densityGeographic range shiftsUnique dispersal abilityLand-use scenariosShifts of speciesGlobal environmental changeGeographically isolated speciesBiodiversity surveysBiodiversity hotspotHolding warmingMammal speciesDispersal abilityLand-useLand usePotential hotspotsClimate-changePopulation densityCross-species transmissionPhylogeographic modelsEnvironmental changesEcological transitionVirus species
2024
After millions of preventable deaths, climate change must be treated like a health emergency
Carlson C. After millions of preventable deaths, climate change must be treated like a health emergency. Nature Medicine 2024, 30: 622-622. PMID: 38291300, DOI: 10.1038/s41591-023-02765-y.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2023
Trends in mosquito species distribution modeling: insights for vector surveillance and disease control
Lippi C, Mundis S, Sippy R, Flenniken J, Chaudhary A, Hecht G, Carlson C, Ryan S. Trends in mosquito species distribution modeling: insights for vector surveillance and disease control. Parasites & Vectors 2023, 16: 302. PMID: 37641089, PMCID: PMC10463544, DOI: 10.1186/s13071-023-05912-z.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSpecies distribution modelsSpecies distribution modelling methodsSpecies distribution modelling literatureDisease vectorsDistribution modelMosquito-borne disease riskInfectious disease vectorsGlobal changeMosquito speciesSpeciesMethodological focusNorth AmericaOutbreak riskDisease riskGeographyMosquitoesModeling effortsRegional modelSystematic reviewEcologyOpen data for COVID-19 policy analysis and mapping
Katz R, Toole K, Robertson H, Case A, Kerr J, Robinson-Marshall S, Schermerhorn J, Orsborn S, Van Maele M, Zimmerman R, Stevens T, Phelan A, Carlson C, Graeden E. Open data for COVID-19 policy analysis and mapping. Scientific Data 2023, 10: 491. PMID: 37500627, PMCID: PMC10374886, DOI: 10.1038/s41597-023-02398-3.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPolicy analysisMap of policiesWhole-of-governmentPolitical sciencePolicy typesGovernance strategiesImplement policiesPolicy measuresPolicy textsPolicySocial distancing measuresGovernmentPandemic responseLegal epidemiologyCOVID-19 pandemicLocal areaCOVID-19Open dataData sourcesCountriesJurisdictionsEcological drivers of sustained enzootic yellow fever virus transmission in Brazil, 2017–2021
Silva N, Albery G, Arruda M, Oliveira G, Costa T, de Mello É, Moreira G, Reis E, da Silva S, Silva M, de Almeida M, Becker D, Carlson C, Vasilakis N, Hanley K, Drumond B. Ecological drivers of sustained enzootic yellow fever virus transmission in Brazil, 2017–2021. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 2023, 17: e0011407. PMID: 37276217, PMCID: PMC10270639, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0011407.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMinas Gerais StateYF virus infectionNon-human primatesYF virusHigher virus titersFree-living non-human primatesInfection intensityExposure to vectorsSylvatic yellow feverEnzootic cycleViral replication levelsHigh virus dosesNon-human primate infectionCarcassYellow feverSeasonVirus titersVirus doseVirus transmissionSoutheastern BrazilVirus infectionViral strainsInfectionWHO ends public health emergency designation for mpox
Carlson C, Katz R. WHO ends public health emergency designation for mpox. The BMJ 2023, 381: p1190. PMID: 37277145, DOI: 10.1136/bmj.p1190.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCoronavirus sampling and surveillance in bats from 1996–2019: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Cohen L, Fagre A, Chen B, Carlson C, Becker D. Coronavirus sampling and surveillance in bats from 1996–2019: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Nature Microbiology 2023, 8: 1176-1186. PMID: 37231088, PMCID: PMC10234814, DOI: 10.1038/s41564-023-01375-1.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchExploring the Mosquito–Arbovirus Network: A Survey of Vector Competence Experiments
Chen B, Sweeny A, Wu V, Christofferson R, Ebel G, Fagre A, Gallichotte E, Kading R, Ryan S, Carlson C. Exploring the Mosquito–Arbovirus Network: A Survey of Vector Competence Experiments. American Journal Of Tropical Medicine And Hygiene 2023, 108: 987-994. PMID: 37037424, PMCID: PMC10160896, DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.22-0511.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2022
A treaty to break the pandemic cycle
Phelan A, Carlson C. A treaty to break the pandemic cycle. Science 2022, 377: 475-477. PMID: 35857484, DOI: 10.1126/science.abq5917.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchInternational law reform for One Health notifications
Carlson C, Phelan A. International law reform for One Health notifications. The Lancet 2022, 400: 462-468. PMID: 35810748, DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(22)00942-4.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLegal frameworkInternational legal frameworkGlobal health governanceInternational lawLaw reformPandemic treatyReporting obligationsEpidemic risk assessmentHealth governanceTreatyOutbreak notificationObligationsNarrow focusComplex issuesHealth approachRisk assessmentNotificationLawAmendmentsReformInformation sharingGovernmentInternationalFrameworkIncentivesPresent and future distribution of bat hosts of sarbecoviruses: implications for conservation and public health
Muylaert R, Kingston T, Luo J, Vancine M, Galli N, Carlson C, John R, Rulli M, Hayman D. Present and future distribution of bat hosts of sarbecoviruses: implications for conservation and public health. Proceedings Of The Royal Society B 2022, 289: 20220397. PMID: 35611534, PMCID: PMC9130791, DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2022.0397.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLoss of population connectivityPredictors of species distributionsReservoirs of diverse virusesBiodiversity extinction crisisProject future scenariosModel current distributionHotspots shiftLandscape relationshipsLocal extinctionSpecies distributionHuman encroachmentExtinction crisisSARS-like virusesPopulation connectivityTemperature seasonalityNatural habitatsGlobal changeHost distributionEcological nichesFuture scenariosBat hostsHotspotsDiverse virusesViral spilloverHuman populationSolar geoengineering could redistribute malaria risk in developing countries
Carlson C, Colwell R, Hossain M, Rahman M, Robock A, Ryan S, Alam M, Trisos C. Solar geoengineering could redistribute malaria risk in developing countries. Nature Communications 2022, 13: 2150. PMID: 35444178, PMCID: PMC9021229, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-29613-w.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchVirus isolation data improve host predictions for New World rodent orthohantaviruses
Mull N, Carlson C, Forbes K, Becker D. Virus isolation data improve host predictions for New World rodent orthohantaviruses. Journal Of Animal Ecology 2022, 91: 1290-1302. PMID: 35362148, DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.13694.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRisk of pathogen spilloverHost associationsMulti-host pathogensRT-PCR dataVirus isolation dataBRT modelsTrait profilesEcological traitsReservoir host speciesPathogen spilloverRT-PCRHost speciesPathogen maintenancePathogen hostsRegression treesBRTHost predictionHost competenceHantavirus cardiopulmonary syndromeZoonotic reservoirsPrioritizing surveillanceRodent phylogenyMultiple data typesIsolation dataMuroid rodentsAssessing the risk of human‐to‐wildlife pathogen transmission for conservation and public health
Fagre A, Cohen L, Eskew E, Farrell M, Glennon E, Joseph M, Frank H, Ryan S, Carlson C, Albery G. Assessing the risk of human‐to‐wildlife pathogen transmission for conservation and public health. Ecology Letters 2022, 25: 1534-1549. PMID: 35318793, PMCID: PMC9313783, DOI: 10.1111/ele.14003.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsNon-human primatesPathogen transmissionThreatened animalsThreaten conservationHuman healthRisk assessmentHuman pathogensPrimatesIncreasing concernSampling biasPublic healthConservationTransmission of pathogensDocumented examplesPathogensEvidence of sampling biasTransmission eventsHuman parasitesWildlife
2021
The science of the host–virus network
Albery G, Becker D, Brierley L, Brook C, Christofferson R, Cohen L, Dallas T, Eskew E, Fagre A, Farrell M, Glennon E, Guth S, Joseph M, Mollentze N, Neely B, Poisot T, Rasmussen A, Ryan S, Seifert S, Sjodin A, Sorrell E, Carlson C. The science of the host–virus network. Nature Microbiology 2021, 6: 1483-1492. PMID: 34819645, DOI: 10.1038/s41564-021-00999-5.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchThe future of zoonotic risk prediction
Carlson C, Farrell M, Grange Z, Han B, Mollentze N, Phelan A, Rasmussen A, Albery G, Bett B, Brett-Major D, Cohen L, Dallas T, Eskew E, Fagre A, Forbes K, Gibb R, Halabi S, Hammer C, Katz R, Kindrachuk J, Muylaert R, Nutter F, Ogola J, Olival K, Rourke M, Ryan S, Ross N, Seifert S, Sironen T, Standley C, Taylor K, Venter M, Webala P. The future of zoonotic risk prediction. Philosophical Transactions Of The Royal Society B Biological Sciences 2021, 376: 20200358. PMID: 34538140, PMCID: PMC8450624, DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0358.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchPreparing international cooperation on pandemic prevention for the Anthropocene
Carlson C, Albery G, Phelan A. Preparing international cooperation on pandemic prevention for the Anthropocene. BMJ Global Health 2021, 6: e004254. PMID: 33727277, PMCID: PMC7970212, DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004254.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2020
Towards a coordinated strategy for intercepting human disease emergence in Africa
Forbes K, Anzala O, Carlson C, Kelvin A, Kuppalli K, Leroy E, Maganga G, Masika M, Mombo I, Mwaengo D, Niama R, Nziza J, Ogola J, Pickering B, Rasmussen A, Sironen T, Vapalahti O, Webala P, Kindrachuk J. Towards a coordinated strategy for intercepting human disease emergence in Africa. The Lancet Microbe 2020, 2: e51-e52. PMID: 35544241, DOI: 10.1016/s2666-5247(20)30220-2.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchA choice between two futures for pandemic recovery
Carlson C, Phelan A. A choice between two futures for pandemic recovery. The Lancet Planetary Health 2020, 4: e545-e546. PMID: 33278368, PMCID: PMC7713705, DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(20)30245-x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchWhat would it take to describe the global diversity of parasites?
Carlson C, Dallas T, Alexander L, Phelan A, Phillips A. What would it take to describe the global diversity of parasites? Proceedings Of The Royal Society B 2020, 287: 20201841. PMID: 33203333, PMCID: PMC7739500, DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2020.1841.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsParasite diversityParasites of birdsDiversity of parasitesParasites of amphibiansHelminth parasitesHost-parasite associationsParasite collectionGlobal Virome ProjectParasitesHost-parasite networksHuman Genome ProjectUndersampled countriesSample of diversityGenome ProjectMissing speciesBony fishesGlobal diversitySmall hostsSpeciesGlobal changeHelminthsFishDiversityBirdsVertebrates