Gregg Gonsalves, PhD
Associate Professor of Epidemiology (Microbial Diseases)Cards
Additional Titles
Associate (Adjunct) Professor of Law, Yale Law School
Affiliated Faculty, Program in Addiction Medicine
Co-Director, Global Health Justice Partnership
Affiliated Faculty, Yale Institute for Global Health
Contact Info
About
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Titles
Associate Professor of Epidemiology (Microbial Diseases)
Associate (Adjunct) Professor of Law, Yale Law School; Affiliated Faculty, Program in Addiction Medicine; Co-Director, Global Health Justice Partnership; Affiliated Faculty, Yale Institute for Global Health
Biography
Gregg Gonsalves is an expert in policy modeling on infectious disease and substance use, as well as the intersection of public policy and health equity. His research focuses on the use of quantitative models for improving the response to epidemic diseases. For more than 30 years, he worked on HIV/AIDS and other global health issues with several organizations, including the AIDS Coalition to Unleash Power, the Treatment Action Group, Gay Men’s Health Crisis, and the AIDS and Rights Alliance for Southern Africa. He is a 2011 graduate of Yale College and received his PhD from Yale Graduate School of Arts and Sciences/School of Public Health in 2017. He is currently the public health correspondent for The Nation. He is a 2018 MacArthur Fellow.
Appointments
Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases
Associate Professor on TermPrimarySchool of Law
Associate Professor AdjunctSecondary
Other Departments & Organizations
- Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases
- Public Health Modeling
- School of Law
- Yale Institute for Global Health
- Yale School of Public Health
- Yale-UPR Integrated HIV Basic and Clinical Sciences Initiative
Education & Training
- PhD
- Yale University, Public Health (2017)
- BS
- Yale College, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology (2011)
Research
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Overview
Medical Research Interests
Public Health Interests
ORCID
0000-0002-5789-9841
Research at a Glance
Yale Co-Authors
Publications Timeline
Research Interests
A. David Paltiel, MBA, PhD
Thomas Thornhill IV
Alexandra Savinkina, MSPH
Joseph Ross, MD, MHS
Forrest W. Crawford, PhD
Danya Keene, PhD
Public Policy
United States Food and Drug Administration
Computer Simulation
Decision Making
Hepatitis C
Prisoners
Publications
Featured Publications
Estimating deaths averted and cost per life saved by scaling up mRNA COVID-19 vaccination in low-income and lower-middle-income countries in the COVID-19 Omicron variant era: a modelling study
Savinkina A, Bilinski A, Fitzpatrick M, Paltiel AD, Rizvi Z, Salomon J, Thornhill T, Gonsalves G. Estimating deaths averted and cost per life saved by scaling up mRNA COVID-19 vaccination in low-income and lower-middle-income countries in the COVID-19 Omicron variant era: a modelling study. BMJ Open 2022, 12: e061752. PMID: 36100306, PMCID: PMC9471205, DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-061752.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetricMeSH Keywords and ConceptsConceptsLow-income countriesIncome countriesDeath avertedHigh-income nationsStatistical lifeAvertable deathsIncome nationsCOVID-19 deathsReasonable investmentHigh costKey inputCountriesParameter estimatesAvertedCostSensitivity analysisUniversal vaccinationGlobal vaccinationMRNA COVID-19 vaccinationNationsInvestmentPrimary vaccine seriesLow vaccine effectivenessCOVID-19 vaccinationPublic dataSurveillance for endemic infectious disease outbreaks: Adaptive sampling using profile likelihood estimation
Fairley M, Rao IJ, Brandeau ML, Qian GL, Gonsalves GS. Surveillance for endemic infectious disease outbreaks: Adaptive sampling using profile likelihood estimation. Statistics In Medicine 2022, 41: 3336-3348. PMID: 35527474, PMCID: PMC9283243, DOI: 10.1002/sim.9420.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetricMeSH Keywords and Concepts
2023
Population-Level Health Effects of Involuntary Displacement of People Experiencing Unsheltered Homelessness Who Inject Drugs in US Cities
Barocas J, Nall S, Axelrath S, Pladsen C, Boyer A, Kral A, Meehan A, Savinkina A, Peery D, Bien M, Agnew-Brune C, Goldshear J, Chiang J, Linas B, Gonsalves G, Bluthenthal R, Mosites E, Wortley P, Todd J, Melton D, Flynn C, German D, Klevens M, Doherty R, O'Cleirigh C, Jimenez A, Clyde T, Poe J, Vaaler M, Deng J, Al-Tayyib A, Shodell D, Higgins E, Griffin V, Sanger C, Khuwaja S, Lopez Z, Padgett P, Kwa Sey E, Ma Y, Santacruz H, Brantley M, Mathews C, Marr J, Spencer E, Nixon W, Forrest D, Anderson B, Tate A, Abrego M, Robinson W, Barak N, Beckford J, Braunstein S, Rivera A, Carrillo S, Ibrahim A, Wogayehu A, Moraga L, Brady K, Shinefeld J, Nnumolu C, Menza T, Orellana E, Bhattari A, Flynn A, Chambers O, Ramos M, McFarland W, Lin J, Miller D, Miranda De Leon S, Rolon-Colon Y, Martinez M, Jaenicke T, Glick S, Kienzle J, Smith B, Reid T, Opoku J, Kuo I, Adams M, Baugher A, Broz D, Burnett J, Chambers S, Chapin-Bardales J, Denning P, Finlayson T, Handanagic S, Hickey T, Kanny D, Lee K, Lewis R, Morris E, Olansky E, Robbins T, Sionean C, Smith A, Teplinskaya A, Trujillo K, Wejnert C, Whiteman A, Xia M. Population-Level Health Effects of Involuntary Displacement of People Experiencing Unsheltered Homelessness Who Inject Drugs in US Cities. JAMA: The Journal Of The American Medical Association 2023, 329: 1478-1486. PMID: 37036716, PMCID: PMC10087093, DOI: 10.1001/jama.2023.4800.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetricMeSH Keywords and ConceptsConceptsNational HIV Behavioral Surveillance SystemInitiation of medicationInjection-related infectionsOpioid use disorderUse disordersHealth effectsInjection drug useLong-term health effectsDrug-related morbidityPopulation attributable fractionBehavioral Surveillance SystemSubstance use disordersMAIN OUTCOMEOverdose deathsRepresentative cohortAdditional deathsOverdose mortalityHealth outcomesDrug useNatural historyDisease controlMortalityDisorder outcomesDrugsHealth implicationsIncreased HIV Transmissions With Reduced Insurance Coverage for HIV Preexposure Prophylaxis: Potential Consequences of Braidwood Management v. Becerra
Paltiel A, Ahmed A, Jin E, McNamara M, Freedberg K, Neilan A, Gonsalves G. Increased HIV Transmissions With Reduced Insurance Coverage for HIV Preexposure Prophylaxis: Potential Consequences of Braidwood Management v. Becerra. Open Forum Infectious Diseases 2023, 10: ofad139. PMID: 37008565, PMCID: PMC10061554, DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofad139.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetricPatterns of Infectious Disease Associated With Injection Drug Use in Massachusetts
Gonsalves G, Paltiel A, Thornhill T, DeMaria A, Cranston K, Klevens R, Warren J. Patterns of Infectious Disease Associated With Injection Drug Use in Massachusetts. Clinical Infectious Diseases 2023, 76: 2134-2139. PMID: 36757712, PMCID: PMC10273381, DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciad073.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetricMeSH Keywords and ConceptsConceptsSoft tissue infectionsHuman immunodeficiency virusHepatitis C virusInjection drug useHCV casesInfective endocarditisHIV casesDrug useSubstance use disordersLogistic regression modelsClinical sequalaeSSTI casesPublic health crisisTissue infectionsImmunodeficiency virusDisease AssociatedHIV outbreakAbscess incisionC virusUse disordersInfectious diseasesInfectionMultiple outbreaksMedical proceduresSuch associationsPlanning for mpox on a college campus: a model-based decision-support tool
Savinkina A, Chitwood M, Kwon J, Pitzer V, Gonsalves G, Paltiel A. Planning for mpox on a college campus: a model-based decision-support tool. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2023, 176: 340-347. PMID: 36716454, PMCID: PMC10338074, DOI: 10.7326/m22-2734.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetricMeSH Keywords and ConceptsConceptsSustained transmissionNational InstituteLow-risk groupHigh-risk populationPopulation of MSMHealth-National InstituteResidential college campusSymptomatic casesHypothetical cohortCongregate settingsStudy populationPreemptive vaccinationReactive vaccinationInfectious diseasesVaccinationDrug abuseBasic reproductive numberFuture outbreaksFrequent physical contactMSMReproductive numberOutbreakDaysMenTimely detectionGeographic and temporal trends in fentanyl-detected deaths in Connecticut, 2009–2019
Lu H, Crawford F, Gonsalves G, Grau L. Geographic and temporal trends in fentanyl-detected deaths in Connecticut, 2009–2019. Annals Of Epidemiology 2023, 79: 32-38. PMID: 36669599, PMCID: PMC10163838, DOI: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2023.01.009.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetricMeSH Keywords and ConceptsEstimated Testing, Tracing, and Vaccination Targets for Containment of the US Mpox Outbreak
Chitwood M, Kwon J, Savinkina A, Walker J, Bilinski A, Gonsalves G. Estimated Testing, Tracing, and Vaccination Targets for Containment of the US Mpox Outbreak. JAMA Network Open 2023, 6: e2250984. PMID: 36637825, PMCID: PMC9857202, DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.50984.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetric
2022
Prioritization of carceral spending in U.S. cities: Development of the Carceral Resource Index (CRI) and the role of race and income inequality
Skaathun B, Maviglia F, Vo A, McBride A, Seymour S, Mendez S, Gonsalves G, Beletsky L. Prioritization of carceral spending in U.S. cities: Development of the Carceral Resource Index (CRI) and the role of race and income inequality. PLOS ONE 2022, 17: e0276818. PMID: 36520883, PMCID: PMC9754598, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0276818.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetricMeSH Keywords and ConceptsConceptsCarceral systemRole of raceU.S. citiesLarge U.S. citiesTerms of incomeSocial supportCarceral institutionsStructural racismBudgetary prioritiesEconomic disparitiesEthnic compositionBudget prioritiesGovernment investmentBlack residentsWhite residentsPopulation concentrationSocial conflict modelIncome inequalityBudgetary investmentsEconomic profileInvestment prioritiesSupportive servicesConflict modelStrong prioritizationResource indexPopulation-Level Strategies for Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir Prescribing—A Cost-effectiveness Analysis
Savinkina A, Paltiel A, Ross J, Gonsalves G. Population-Level Strategies for Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir Prescribing—A Cost-effectiveness Analysis. Open Forum Infectious Diseases 2022, 9: ofac637. PMID: 36589482, PMCID: PMC9792084, DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofac637.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetricConceptsCost-effectiveness analysisTrade-offs implicitSevere diseaseDecision analytic modelAllocation decisionsPay thresholdsPolicy strategiesUnvaccinated patientsVaccination statusHigh riskTreatment effectivenessHigh-risk individualsAllocation strategyPopulation-level strategiesWillingnessFurther priorityDrug costsSensitivity analysisCostRitonavir treatmentUnvaccinated personsVaccinated adultsPatient populationClinical trialsLower risk
Academic Achievements & Community Involvement
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Honors
honor MacArthur Fellowship
10/04/2018National AwardJohn D. and Catherine T. MacArthur FoundationDetailsUnited States
News & Links
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News
- April 29, 2026
New NIH Team Science Grant to Address HIV and Substance Use Epidemics
- March 17, 2026Source: Hartford Courant
Opinion: Vaccination is not just about personal choice in CT or elsewhere
- February 03, 2026
Methadone: Public Transit is a Barrier for Accessing Treatment
- November 29, 2025Source: Forbes
New limits on federal loans expected to impact health professional workforce
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Locations
Public Health Modeling Unit
Academic Office
350 George Street, Ste 3rd Floor
New Haven, CT 06511