2023
Risk prediction models for endometrial cancer: development and validation in an international consortium
Shi J, Kraft P, Rosner B, Benavente Y, Black A, Brinton L, Chen C, Clarke M, Cook L, Costas L, Dal Maso L, Freudenheim J, Frias-Gomez J, Friedenreich C, Garcia-Closas M, Goodman M, Johnson L, La Vecchia C, Levi F, Lissowska J, Lu L, McCann S, Moysich K, Negri E, O'Connell K, Parazzini F, Petruzella S, Polesel J, Ponte J, Rebbeck T, Reynolds P, Ricceri F, Risch H, Sacerdote C, Setiawan V, Shu X, Spurdle A, Trabert B, Webb P, Wentzensen N, Wilkens L, Xu W, Yang H, Yu H, Du M, De Vivo I. Risk prediction models for endometrial cancer: development and validation in an international consortium. Journal Of The National Cancer Institute 2023, 115: 552-559. PMID: 36688725, PMCID: PMC10165481, DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djad014.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsNurses' Health StudyRisk prediction modelNHS IIEndometrial cancerHealth StudyGenetic factorsEndometrial cancer incidence ratesOvarian Cancer Screening TrialCancer risk prediction modelsEndometrial Cancer ConsortiumPostmenopausal white womenCancer Screening TrialCancer risk stratificationCase-control studyRisk factor distributionCancer incidence ratesRelative risk estimatesEpidemiologic modelHeterogeneous study populationsPublic health practiceProphylactic hysterectomyRisk stratificationEpidemiologic factorsIncidence rateSelect cohort
2017
Determining Risk of Barrett’s Esophagus and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma Based on Epidemiologic Factors and Genetic Variants
Dong J, Buas MF, Gharahkhani P, Kendall BJ, Onstad L, Zhao S, Anderson LA, Wu AH, Ye W, Bird NC, Bernstein L, Chow WH, Gammon MD, Liu G, Caldas C, Pharoah PD, Risch HA, Iyer PG, Reid BJ, Hardie LJ, Lagergren J, Shaheen NJ, Corley DA, Fitzgerald RC, consortium S, Whiteman DC, Vaughan TL, Thrift AP. Determining Risk of Barrett’s Esophagus and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma Based on Epidemiologic Factors and Genetic Variants. Gastroenterology 2017, 154: 1273-1281.e3. PMID: 29247777, PMCID: PMC5880715, DOI: 10.1053/j.gastro.2017.12.003.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdenocarcinomaArea Under CurveAustraliaBarrett EsophagusCase-Control StudiesDatabases, FactualDecision Support TechniquesEsophageal NeoplasmsEuropeFemaleGene-Environment InteractionGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansLife StyleLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedModels, GeneticMolecular EpidemiologyMultifactorial InheritanceNorth AmericaOdds RatioPhenotypePolymorphism, Single NucleotidePredictive Value of TestsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC CurveConceptsGastroesophageal reflux diseaseBarrett's esophagusEsophageal adenocarcinomaLifestyle factorsPolygenic risk scoresGERD symptomsNon-genetic factorsDemographic/lifestyle factorsNet reclassification improvementCharacteristic curve analysisAUC valuesRisk prediction modelEsophageal cancer studyInternational Barrett'sReflux diseaseHighest quartileNet reclassificationEpidemiologic factorsReclassification improvementLowest quartileHigh riskRisk scorePatientsEsophagusAbstractText
2013
An Absolute Risk Model to Identify Individuals at Elevated Risk for Pancreatic Cancer in the General Population
Klein AP, Lindström S, Mendelsohn JB, Steplowski E, Arslan AA, Bueno-de-Mesquita HB, Fuchs CS, Gallinger S, Gross M, Helzlsouer K, Holly EA, Jacobs EJ, LaCroix A, Li D, Mandelson MT, Olson SH, Petersen GM, Risch HA, Stolzenberg-Solomon RZ, Zheng W, Amundadottir L, Albanes D, Allen NE, Bamlet WR, Boutron-Ruault MC, Buring JE, Bracci PM, Canzian F, Clipp S, Cotterchio M, Duell EJ, Elena J, Gaziano JM, Giovannucci EL, Goggins M, Hallmans G, Hassan M, Hutchinson A, Hunter DJ, Kooperberg C, Kurtz RC, Liu S, Overvad K, Palli D, Patel AV, Rabe KG, Shu XO, Slimani N, Tobias GS, Trichopoulos D, Van Den Eeden SK, Vineis P, Virtamo J, Wactawski-Wende J, Wolpin BM, Yu H, Yu K, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte A, Chanock SJ, Hoover RN, Hartge P, Kraft P. An Absolute Risk Model to Identify Individuals at Elevated Risk for Pancreatic Cancer in the General Population. PLOS ONE 2013, 8: e72311. PMID: 24058443, PMCID: PMC3772857, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0072311.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPancreatic cancerRisk factorsAbsolute risk modelsAbsolute riskElevated riskGeneral populationLifetime absolute riskGenetic factorsPopulation incidence ratesGenetic risk factorsNon-Hispanic whitesHeavy alcohol useImmediate clinical utilityRisk modelCurrent smokingIncidence rateRelative riskFamily historyModifiable behaviorsClinical utilityU.S. non-Hispanic whitesCancerAverage riskAlcohol useNon-genetic factors
1993
Canadian National Breast Screening Study: first screen results as predictors of future breast cancer risk.
Holowaty P, Miller A, Baines C, Risch H. Canadian National Breast Screening Study: first screen results as predictors of future breast cancer risk. Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention 1993, 2: 11-9. PMID: 8420606.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRisk factorsBreast cancerYears menstruatingPhysical examinationCanadian National Breast Screening StudyNational Breast Screening StudyFuture breast cancer riskSelf-reported risk factorsBreast Screening StudyInvasive breast cancerRisk factor informationSignificant risk factorsBreast cancer riskEtiological risk factorsCharacteristics of womenSelf-administered questionnaireTwo-view mammographic examinationBreast screenStudy populationParenchymal patternsCancer riskMammographic examinationsScreen resultsStudy designFactor information