2024
Smoking patterns by birth cohort in Argentina: an age-period-cohort population-based modeling study
Salgado M, Mok Y, Jeon J, Jaffri M, Tam J, Holford T, Sánchez-Romero L, Meza R, Mejia R. Smoking patterns by birth cohort in Argentina: an age-period-cohort population-based modeling study. The Lancet Regional Health - Americas 2024, 36: 100823. PMID: 39006127, PMCID: PMC11246057, DOI: 10.1016/j.lana.2024.100823.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCurrent smoking prevalenceSmoking prevalenceBirth cohortSmoking initiationCessation probabilitiesPopulation-based modelling studyTobacco control measuresRecent birth cohortsRate of quittingNationally representative surveySmoking ratesSmoking patternsYears of ageRepresentative surveySurveillance modelCancer interventionSmokingSmoking historyPrevalenceCohortGroup ageBirthInterventionCessationAgeModeling cigarette smoking exposure in subsets of the population
Holford T. Modeling cigarette smoking exposure in subsets of the population. Open Access Government 2024, 44: 186-187. DOI: 10.56367/oag-044-11540.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCigarette smokingClean air lawsPublic health interventionsPublic health challengeTobacco controlHealth interventionsTobacco useGeographic disparitiesAir lawsPopulation's understandingHealth challengesSmoke exposureEffects of cigarette smokingShorten lifePublic healthSmokingLevels of exposureCigaretteProtect public healthTobaccoNational levelLegal ageCigarette smoke exposureIncreased costsPopulationCigarette smoking focus: A modeling approach for estimating the impact of health programs
Holford T. Cigarette smoking focus: A modeling approach for estimating the impact of health programs. Open Access Government 2024, 43: 82-83. DOI: 10.56367/oag-043-11502.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2023
Summary and Concluding Remarks: Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories
Levy D, Tam J, Jeon J, Holford T, Fleischer N, Meza R. Summary and Concluding Remarks: Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s72-s79. PMID: 36935130, PMCID: PMC11193149, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.12.007.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRace/ethnicitySmoking patternsCohort methodologyTobacco control strategiesMortality RRSmoking historyMiddle-income countriesWorking GroupSmoking trendsHealth disparitiesCancer interventionTobacco controlCohort approachPublic healthEducation groupFamily incomeGroupEthnicitySociodemographic analysisSmokingEducational attainment
2020
Modeling factors affecting age, period and cohort trends
Holford T. Modeling factors affecting age, period and cohort trends. 2020, 117-141. DOI: 10.4324/9780429056819-7.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchAnalytical epidemiological studiesUnderstanding of etiologyCigarette smokingLung cancerEtiology of diseaseEpidemiological studiesCarcinogenesis modelDisease trendsCohort scaleCohort frameworkHealth careDiseaseExposure dataPopulation ratesCohort modelCohort trendsSmokingAgeEtiologyU.S. malesTemporal trendsEarly stepsCancerPeriodCare
2018
Smoking and Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States From 2015 to 2065: A Comparative Modeling Approach.
Jeon J, Holford TR, Levy DT, Feuer EJ, Cao P, Tam J, Clarke L, Clarke J, Kong CY, Meza R. Smoking and Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States From 2015 to 2065: A Comparative Modeling Approach. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2018, 169: 684-693. PMID: 30304504, PMCID: PMC6242740, DOI: 10.7326/m18-1250.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer mortalityTobacco control effortsCancer mortalityLung cancer ratesLung cancerCancer ratesLung cancer burdenLung cancer deathsLung cancer screeningSmoking-related diseasesU.S. populationNational Cancer InstituteLonger life expectancyCancer burdenSmoking patternsCancer deathCessation effortsCancer screeningTobacco useCancer InstituteSmokingAdditional preventionNatural historyMortalityCancer
2014
Proximity to Natural Gas Wells and Reported Health Status: Results of a Household Survey in Washington County, Pennsylvania
Rabinowitz PM, Slizovskiy IB, Lamers V, Trufan SJ, Holford TR, Dziura JD, Peduzzi PN, Kane MJ, Reif JS, Weiss TR, Stowe MH. Proximity to Natural Gas Wells and Reported Health Status: Results of a Household Survey in Washington County, Pennsylvania. Environmental Health Perspectives 2014, 123: 21-26. PMID: 25204871, PMCID: PMC4286272, DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1307732.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHealth symptomsUpper respiratory symptomsPublic health impactRespiratory symptomsNeurological symptomsSymptom SurveyRespiratory conditionsSkin conditionsHypothesis generatingHealth statusSymptomsFurther studiesGastrointestinal conditionsHealth impactsHousehold educationPrevalenceWashington CountyHousehold proximityPersonsSmokingWater exposureHousehold surveyWork type
2012
Chapter 12: Yale Lung Cancer Model
Holford TR, Ebisu K, McKay L, Oh C, Zheng T. Chapter 12: Yale Lung Cancer Model. Risk Analysis 2012, 32: s151-s165. PMID: 22882886, PMCID: PMC3662537, DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01754.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer deathsCarcinogenesis modelCancer deathLung cancer incidenceLung cancer modelTwo-stage clonal expansion modelCigarette smokingCancer incidenceCancer modelTobacco controlClonal expansion modelPopulation ratesCohort modelSmokingDeathHarmful effectsPopulation dataTemporal trendsMortalityObserved numberIncidenceControlChapter 4: Development of the Counterfactual Smoking Histories Used to Assess the Effects of Tobacco Control
Holford TR, Clark L. Chapter 4: Development of the Counterfactual Smoking Histories Used to Assess the Effects of Tobacco Control. Risk Analysis 2012, 32: s39-s50. PMID: 22882891, PMCID: PMC3490210, DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01759.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTobacco controlNational Health Interview SurveyLung cancer mortalityNumber of cigarettesLung cancer modelHealth Interview SurveySurveillance Modeling NetworkSurgeon General's ReportSmoking historyCessation ratesCigarette smokingCancer mortalityCancer modelCancer interventionInterview SurveySmokingPublic healthCigarettesReportControl programsGeneral's ReportControlMortalityWomenChapter 14: Comparing the Adequacy of Carcinogenesis Models in Estimating U.S. Population Rates for Lung Cancer Mortality
Holford TR, Levy DT. Chapter 14: Comparing the Adequacy of Carcinogenesis Models in Estimating U.S. Population Rates for Lung Cancer Mortality. Risk Analysis 2012, 32: s179-s189. PMID: 22882888, PMCID: PMC3478769, DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01734.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer mortalityCancer mortalityCarcinogenesis modelLung cancer mortality ratesU.S. population ratesEffect of smokingCancer Prevention StudyCancer mortality ratesPopulation ratesTwo-stage clonal expansion modelEffect of ageSmoking trendsLung cancerPrevention StudyEstimates of riskMortality rateClonal expansionClonal expansion modelCohort modelSmokingIndividual cohortsCohortMortalityU.S. malesTemporal trendsImpact of Reduced Tobacco Smoking on Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States During 1975–2000
Moolgavkar SH, Holford TR, Levy DT, Kong CY, Foy M, Clarke L, Jeon J, Hazelton WD, Meza R, Schultz F, McCarthy W, Boer R, Gorlova O, Gazelle GS, Kimmel M, McMahon PM, de Koning HJ, Feuer EJ. Impact of Reduced Tobacco Smoking on Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States During 1975–2000. Journal Of The National Cancer Institute 2012, 104: 541-548. PMID: 22423009, PMCID: PMC3317881, DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djs136.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer deathsLung cancer mortalityCancer deathSmoking behaviorCancer mortalityMajor public health problemTobacco controlPublic health problemTobacco control strategiesNumber of deathsSmoking historyTobacco smokingLung cancerGroups of investigatorsBirth cohortHealth problemsFirst reportSmokingMortalityDeathUnited StatesWomenMenCohortCancer
2003
Cigarette smoking and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma subtypes among women
Morton L, Holford T, Leaderer B, Boyle P, Zahm S, Zhang Y, Flynn S, Tallini G, Zhang B, Owens P, Zheng T. Cigarette smoking and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma subtypes among women. British Journal Of Cancer 2003, 89: 2087-2092. PMID: 14647142, PMCID: PMC2376853, DOI: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6601388.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsNon-Hodgkin lymphomaCumulative lifetime exposureCurrent smoking statusCigarette smokingNHL subtypesFollicular lymphomaLifetime exposurePopulation-based case-control studyRisk of NHLEtiology of NHLNon-Hodgkin lymphoma subtypesDuration of smokingIntensity of smokingPrevious epidemiologic studiesCase-control studyPopulation-based controlsHistologic typeSmoking statusIncident casesTumor gradeLymphoma subtypesEpidemiologic studiesSmokingImmunologic typeLymphoma
1997
Mouthwash use and dentures in relation to oral epithelial dysplasia
Morse D, Katz R, Pendrys D, Holford T, Krutchkoff D, Eisenberg E, Kosis D, Kerpel S, Freedman P, Mayne S. Mouthwash use and dentures in relation to oral epithelial dysplasia. Oral Oncology 1997, 33: 338-343. PMID: 9415333, DOI: 10.1016/s1368-8375(97)00019-5.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsOral epithelial dysplasiaMouthwash useEpithelial dysplasiaDenture useOdds ratioYears of dentureOral Pathology LaboratoryCase-control studyConditional logistic regressionCase-control pairsOED casesAppointment datePotential associationLogistic regressionTelephone interviewsExposure informationPathology laboratoryConfidence intervalsDysplasiaDenturesMouthwashRiskSmokingYearsSurgeonsRisk of tongue cancer associated with tobacco smoking and alcohol consumption: a case-control study
Zheng T, Holford T, Chen Y, Jiang P, Zhang B, Boyle P. Risk of tongue cancer associated with tobacco smoking and alcohol consumption: a case-control study. Oral Oncology 1997, 33: 82-85. PMID: 9231164, DOI: 10.1016/s0964-1955(96)00056-5.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTongue cancerCase-control studyTobacco smokingAlcohol drinkingRisk factorsCurrent smokersCigarette equivalentsQuitting smokingEffect modificationTobacco consumptionSmokingAlcohol consumptionNumber of casesSignificant associationCancerYoung populationRiskRecent studiesDrinkingDaysSmokersYearsStudyDiseaseWeeks
1996
Time trend and age‐period‐cohort effect on incidence of bladder cancer in Connecticut, 1935–1992
Zheng T, Holford T, Chen Y, Z. J, Mayne S, Liu W, Flannery J, Boyle P. Time trend and age‐period‐cohort effect on incidence of bladder cancer in Connecticut, 1935–1992. International Journal Of Cancer 1996, 68: 172-176. PMID: 8900423, DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0215(19961009)68:2<172::aid-ijc5>3.0.co;2-v.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsUrinary bladder cancerMajor risk factorBladder cancerRisk factorsIncidence rateBirth-cohort patternSmoking-related cancersAnalytical epidemiologic studiesTime trendsTobacco smokingCigarette smokingLung cancerOccupational exposureEpidemiologic studiesCancerMarked increaseSmokingCohort effectsMalesRecent studiesCurrent studyFemalesIncidenceStudyConnecticutSmoking and drinking in relation to oral epithelial dysplasia.
Morse D, Katz R, Pendrys D, Holford T, Krutchkoff D, Eisenberg E, Kosis D, Mayne S. Smoking and drinking in relation to oral epithelial dysplasia. Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention 1996, 5: 769-77. PMID: 8896887.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsOral epithelial dysplasiaOdds ratioMouthwash useDenture statusRisk factorsEpithelial dysplasiaDrinks/weekAdjusted odds ratioImportant risk factorOral Pathology LaboratoryStandardized telephone interviewCase-control studyPotential risk factorsConditional logistic regressionLevel of smokingCurrent smokingAlcohol intakeIncident casesSmoking cessationOral cancerExcess riskHistopathological diagnosisSmokingAppointment dateLogistic regressionA MODEL FOR THE EFFECT OF CIGARETTE SMOKING ON LUNG CANCER INCIDENCE IN CONNECTICUT
HOLFORD T, ZHANG Z, ZHENG T, MCKAY L. A MODEL FOR THE EFFECT OF CIGARETTE SMOKING ON LUNG CANCER INCIDENCE IN CONNECTICUT. Statistics In Medicine 1996, 15: 565-580. PMID: 8731001, DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19960330)15:6<565::aid-sim185>3.0.co;2-t.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer incidenceCancer incidenceIncidence rateLung cancer incidence ratesLung cancer incidence trendsEffect of smokingCancer incidence ratesCancer incidence trendsCohort studyCurrent smokersLevel of exposureMale smokersSmoking historySmoking subgroupsSmoking informationCigarette smokingMean durationSmoking prevalenceIncidence trendsSmokersSmokingPrevalenceCohort effectsAge distributionIncidence
1984
Acute Prolapsed Lumbar Intervertebral Disc An Epidemiologic Study with Special Reference to Driving Automobiles and Cigarette Smoking
KELSEY J, GITHENS P, O'CONNER T, WEIL U, CALOGERO J, HOLFORD T, WHITE A, WALTER S, OSTFELD A, SOUTHWICK W. Acute Prolapsed Lumbar Intervertebral Disc An Epidemiologic Study with Special Reference to Driving Automobiles and Cigarette Smoking. Spine 1984, 9: 608-613. PMID: 6495031, DOI: 10.1097/00007632-198409000-00012.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsCigarette smokingAverage riskNumber of pregnanciesPossible etiologic significanceCase-control studyEpidemiologic case-control studyRatio of menLumbar intervertebral discsNonoccupational factorsFemale ratioRisk factorsEpidemiologic studiesHigh riskSurgical casesEtiologic significanceNumber of childrenLumbar discIntervertebral discHigh heelsSmokingRiskNumber of hoursPast yearPregnancySurgery
1982
Effects of cigarette smoking, alcohol, coffee and tea consumption on preterm delivery
Berkowitz G, Holford T, Berkowitz R. Effects of cigarette smoking, alcohol, coffee and tea consumption on preterm delivery. Early Human Development 1982, 7: 239-250. PMID: 7160334, DOI: 10.1016/0378-3782(82)90086-x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPreterm deliveryMothers of singletonsTea consumptionTerm infantsCigarette smokingRisk factorsYale-New Haven HospitalHeavy tea consumptionPossible risk factorsCase-control studyHeavy alcohol consumptionPreterm infantsMore cigarettesMore cupsCoffee drinkingAlcohol consumptionInfantsSmokingSignificant relationWomenDeliveryMothersRiskDaysSingletons