2024
Rainfall events and daily mortality across 645 global locations: two stage time series analysis
He C, Breitner-Busch S, Huber V, Chen K, Zhang S, Gasparrini A, Bell M, Kan H, Royé D, Armstrong B, Schwartz J, Sera F, Vicedo-Cabrera A, Honda Y, Jaakkola J, Ryti N, Kyselý J, Guo Y, Tong S, de'Donato F, Michelozzi P, Coelho M, Saldiva P, Lavigne E, Orru H, Indermitte E, Pascal M, Goodman P, Zeka A, Kim Y, Diaz M, Arellano E, Overcenco A, Klompmaker J, Rao S, Palomares A, Carrasco G, Seposo X, Pereira da Silva S, Madureira J, Holobaca I, Scovronick N, Acquaotta F, Kim H, Lee W, Hashizume M, Tobias A, Íñiguez C, Forsberg B, Ragettli M, Guo Y, Pan S, Osorio S, Li S, Zanobetti A, Dang T, Van Dung D, Schneider A. Rainfall events and daily mortality across 645 global locations: two stage time series analysis. The BMJ 2024, 387: e080944. PMID: 39384295, DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2024-080944.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsYear return periodReturn periodsRainfall eventsVegetation coverageCharacteristics of daily rainfallDaily rainfall intensityDaily rainfallRainfall intensityRespiratory mortalityClimate typesRainfallLocal climateIntensity indexGlobal scaleTime series analysisMortality riskRelative riskAssociated with respiratory mortalityDaily mortalityDaily mortality dataClimateEstimate mortality riskIncreased relative riskSeries analysisGlobal locationsAll-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and wildfire-related ozone: a multicountry two-stage time series analysis
Chen G, Guo Y, Yue X, Xu R, Yu W, Ye T, Tong S, Gasparrini A, Bell M, Armstrong B, Schwartz J, Jaakkola J, Lavigne E, Saldiva P, Kan H, Royé D, Urban A, Vicedo-Cabrera A, Tobias A, Forsberg B, Sera F, Lei Y, Abramson M, Li S, Network M, Abrutzky R, Alahmad B, Ameling C, Åström C, Breitner S, Carrasco-Escobar G, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho M, Colistro V, Correa P, Dang T, de'Donato F, Van Dung, Entezari A, Garcia S, Garland R, Goodman P, Guo Y, Hashizume M, Holobaca I, Honda Y, Houthuijs D, Hurtado-Díaz M, Íñiguez C, Katsouyanni K, Kim H, Kyselý J, Lee W, Maasikmets M, Madureira J, Mayvaneh F, Nunes B, Orru H, Ortega N, Overcenco A, Pan S, Pascal M, Ragettli M, Rao S, Ryti N, Samoli E, Schneider A, Scovronick N, Seposo X, Stafoggia M, De la Cruz Valencia C, Zanobetti A, Zeka A. All-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and wildfire-related ozone: a multicountry two-stage time series analysis. The Lancet Planetary Health 2024, 8: e452-e462. PMID: 38969473, DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00117-7.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRespiratory mortalityImpact of wildfiresDaily respiratory mortalityDaily cardiovascular mortalityTwo-stage time-series analysisChemical transport modelWildfire activityDaily mortality ratesDaily concentrationsDaily mortalityStudy locationRespiratory deathsWildfireManagement strategiesSource of tropospheric ozoneTransport modelTropospheric ozoneGlobal levelLocation levelMulti-cityRegional levelMortality fractionsEffective riskSouth AmericaCentral AmericaLong-term exposure to PM2.5 and mortality in a national cohort in South Korea: effect modification by community deprivation, medical infrastructure, and greenness
Byun G, Kim S, Choi Y, Kim A, Team A, Lee J, Bell M. Long-term exposure to PM2.5 and mortality in a national cohort in South Korea: effect modification by community deprivation, medical infrastructure, and greenness. BMC Public Health 2024, 24: 1266. PMID: 38720292, PMCID: PMC11080206, DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-18752-y.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLong-term exposure to PM2.5Exposure to PM2.5Respiratory mortalityCirculatory mortalityEffect of long-term exposure to PM2.5National Health Insurance Service-National Sample CohortLong-term PM2.5 exposureAssociated with respiratory mortalityReduce health disparitiesMedical infrastructureNon-accidentalCommunity-level deprivationCommunity-level factorsCommunity-level characteristicsPotential modifying effectPublic health outcomesNationwide cohort studyIncreased mortality riskCox proportional-hazards modelDeprivation indexHealth disparitiesCommunity deprivationHigh deprivationHealth outcomesEffect modificationComparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study
Wen B, Wu Y, Guo Y, Gasparrini A, Tong S, Overcenco A, Urban A, Schneider A, Entezari A, Vicedo-Cabrera A, Zanobetti A, Analitis A, Zeka A, Tobias A, Nunes B, Alahmad B, Armstrong B, Forsberg B, Pan S, Íñiguez C, Ameling C, Valencia C, Åström C, Houthuijs D, Van Dung D, Royé D, Indermitte E, Lavigne E, Mayvaneh F, Acquaotta F, de'Donato F, Rao S, Sera F, Carrasco-Escobar G, Kan H, Orru H, Kim H, Holobaca I, Kyselý J, Madureira J, Schwartz J, Jaakkola J, Katsouyanni K, Diaz M, Ragettli M, Hashizume M, Pascal M, Coélho M, Ortega N, Ryti N, Scovronick N, Michelozzi P, Matus Correa P, Goodman P, Saldiva P, Raz R, Abrutzky R, Osorio S, Dang T, Colistro V, Huber V, Lee W, Seposo X, Honda Y, Kim Y, Guo Y, Bell M, Li S. Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study. Environment International 2024, 187: 108712. PMID: 38714028, DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2024.108712.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchInter-day TVRespiratory mortalityIQR increaseAll-cause mortalityMortality riskInterquartile rangeAssociated with increased mortality riskCardiovascular mortalityTime-series studyAll-causeMulti-level analysisMortalityRiskLag intervalStandard deviationHealthAverage SDTemperature variabilityComprehensive evaluationAssociation
2023
Effects of heat waves on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Silveira I, Cortes T, Bell M, Junger W. Effects of heat waves on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. PLOS ONE 2023, 18: e0283899. PMID: 37000782, PMCID: PMC10065291, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283899.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRespiratory mortalityOdds ratioDistributed lag non-linear modelCardiovascular mortalityIndividual-level exposuresHeat wave intensityCase-crossover studyConditional logistic regressionMunicipal Health DepartmentHeat wavesEffects of heat wavesHealth impacts of heat wavesHealth departmentsHealth resourcesDeath dataOlder peopleLow-incomeEffect estimatesOlder womenDefinition of heat wavesLogistic regressionEpidemiological evidenceMorbidity outcomesHeat wave daysHealth impactsShort-term association between ambient air pollution and cardio-respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Cortes T, Silveira I, de Oliveira B, Bell M, Junger W. Short-term association between ambient air pollution and cardio-respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. PLOS ONE 2023, 18: e0281499. PMID: 36795640, PMCID: PMC9934392, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0281499.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAmbient air pollutionCardio-respiratory mortalityShort-term associationsAir pollutionRespiratory mortalityExposure to particulate matter <Individual-level mortality dataOdds ratioIndividual exposure to air pollutionExposure to air pollutionCase-crossover study designHealth risk estimatesConditional logistic regression modelsConfidence intervalsEvaluation of public healthParticulate matter <Inverse distance weighting methodExposure assessment methodsIndividual-level dataDistributed lag non-linear modelLogistic regression modelsDistance weighting methodPM10 exposurePollution exposureRio de Janeiro
2021
Energy transitions, air quality and health
Pereira G, Bell M, Honda Y, Lee J, Morawska L, Jalaludin B. Energy transitions, air quality and health. Environmental Research Letters 2021, 16: 020202. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abdaea.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchChronic disease epidemicDirect chemical exposureGlobal burdenRespiratory mortalityMortality rateChemical exposureGenetic mutationsHealth detrimentHealth impactsIndirect pathwaysHealthDisease epidemicsAssociated health impactsOccupational efficiencyMajor contributorLife courseLifestyle transitionMortalityDisease
2019
The Use of a Quasi-Experimental Study on the Mortality Effect of a Heat Wave Warning System in Korea
Heo S, Nori-Sarma A, Lee K, Benmarhnia T, Dominici F, Bell ML. The Use of a Quasi-Experimental Study on the Mortality Effect of a Heat Wave Warning System in Korea. International Journal Of Environmental Research And Public Health 2019, 16: 2245. PMID: 31242672, PMCID: PMC6617315, DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16122245.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2015
The impact of temperature on mortality in a subtropical city: effects of cold, heat, and heat waves in São Paulo, Brazil
Son JY, Gouveia N, Bravo MA, de Freitas CU, Bell ML. The impact of temperature on mortality in a subtropical city: effects of cold, heat, and heat waves in São Paulo, Brazil. International Journal Of Biometeorology 2015, 60: 113-121. PMID: 25972308, PMCID: PMC4644507, DOI: 10.1007/s00484-015-1009-7.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRespiratory mortalityNon-hospital deathsHigher mortality riskCause of deathCardiovascular mortalityStratified analysisMortality riskCold effectsTotal mortalityOlder personsMortalityPercentile of temperatureRiskSão PauloDeathNon-heat wave daysPercentileCold-related mortalitySubtropical cityOverall effectGeneralized linear modelingAir pollution and mortality in São Paulo, Brazil: Effects of multiple pollutants and analysis of susceptible populations
Bravo MA, Son J, de Freitas CU, Gouveia N, Bell ML. Air pollution and mortality in São Paulo, Brazil: Effects of multiple pollutants and analysis of susceptible populations. Journal Of Exposure Science & Environmental Epidemiology 2015, 26: 150-161. PMID: 25586330, DOI: 10.1038/jes.2014.90.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAir PollutantsAir PollutionBrazilCarbon MonoxideCardiovascular DiseasesCase-Control StudiesDeath CertificatesEnvironmental MonitoringFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedNitrogen DioxideOzoneParticle SizeParticulate MatterRespiratory Tract DiseasesRisk FactorsSex DistributionSocioeconomic FactorsSulfur DioxideConceptsTime of deathSocioeconomic statusTime-stratified case-crossover analysisCase-crossover analysisResidential socioeconomic statusEducation groupHospital deathCardiovascular mortalityNon-accidental mortalityRespiratory mortalityMortality riskHigh education groupEvidence of differencesSignificant associationMortalityEffect estimatesDeathMortality effectsSusceptible populationHealth impactsAmbient monitorsIndividual-level health dataAir pollutionHealth dataAerodynamic diameter
2005
A Meta-Analysis of Time-Series Studies of Ozone and Mortality With Comparison to the National Morbidity, Mortality, and Air Pollution Study
Bell ML, Dominici F, Samet JM. A Meta-Analysis of Time-Series Studies of Ozone and Mortality With Comparison to the National Morbidity, Mortality, and Air Pollution Study. Epidemiology 2005, 16: 436-445. PMID: 15951661, PMCID: PMC3581312, DOI: 10.1097/01.ede.0000165817.40152.85.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTime-series studyShort-term associationsPublication biasNational MorbidityCause-specific mortalityLag 0Meta-analysis resultsPossible publication biasCity-specific estimatesPooled effectRespiratory mortalityMeta-AnalysisTotal mortalityAge groupsMortalityEffect estimatesMorbidityPositive associationNMMAPSInconclusive resultsAir pollution studiesAssociationOzone exposureEvidenceStrong evidence
2004
Ozone and Short-term Mortality in 95 US Urban Communities, 1987-2000
Bell ML, McDermott A, Zeger SL, Samet JM, Dominici F. Ozone and Short-term Mortality in 95 US Urban Communities, 1987-2000. JAMA 2004, 292: 2372-2378. PMID: 15547165, PMCID: PMC3546819, DOI: 10.1001/jama.292.19.2372.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsUS urban communitiesRespiratory mortalityShort-term exposureNumerous time series studiesShort-term mortalitySingle-day exposureLarge US communitiesAdverse health effectsTotal US populationHospital admissionRespiratory illnessTime-varying confoundersMAIN OUTCOMEUS populationSignificant associationTime-series studyMortalityNational MorbidityUS communitiesEffect estimatesHealth effectsPrevious weekUrban communitiesDaily mortalityPublic health