2019
Modeling Approaches Toward Understanding Infectious Disease Transmission
Skrip L, Townsend J. Modeling Approaches Toward Understanding Infectious Disease Transmission. 2019, 227-243. PMCID: PMC7121152, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-25553-4_14.Peer-Reviewed Reviews, Practice Guidelines, Standards, and Consensus StatementsModern statistical inferenceInfectious disease dynamicsStatistical inferenceMathematical modelData-driven modelsPublic health strategiesDisease dynamicsGlobal health infrastructureInfluenza vaccinationInfectious disease transmissionHealth strategiesDisease trendsBehavioral interventionsHealth infrastructureEbola epidemicPowerful toolDisease transmissionModelDiseaseCommunity-based initiativesIncorporation of dataInferenceFundamental aspectsDynamicsPredictive powerModelling microbial infection to address global health challenges
Fitzpatrick MC, Bauch CT, Townsend JP, Galvani AP. Modelling microbial infection to address global health challenges. Nature Microbiology 2019, 4: 1612-1619. PMID: 31541212, PMCID: PMC6800015, DOI: 10.1038/s41564-019-0565-8.Peer-Reviewed Reviews, Practice Guidelines, Standards, and Consensus StatementsConceptsOptimization of modelsGlobal health challengeDisease transmission dynamicsHealth challengesEpidemiological modellingAccuracy of predictionDifferent intervention strategiesPandemic preparednessInfectious diseasesTransmission dynamicsMicrobial infectionsIntervention strategiesModel developmentPublic healthDiseaseHIV crisisModelOptimizationRiskHealthDynamicsModellingClose collaborationMethodological advancesModelers
2016
Retrospective Analysis of the 2014-2015 Ebola Epidemic in Liberia.
Atkins KE, Pandey A, Wenzel NS, Skrip L, Yamin D, Nyenswah TG, Fallah M, Bawo L, Medlock J, Altice FL, Townsend J, Ndeffo-Mbah ML, Galvani AP. Retrospective Analysis of the 2014-2015 Ebola Epidemic in Liberia. American Journal Of Tropical Medicine And Hygiene 2016, 94: 833-9. PMID: 26928839, PMCID: PMC4824226, DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.15-0328.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsCommunity transmissionEbola epidemicHospital transmissionAsymptomatic infectionImmune individualsRetrospective analysisEpidemiological dataUnreported casesDisease controlEbola dynamicsHospital capacityEpidemic patternsEbola incidenceFuture outbreaksPresence of interventionsEpidemicLiberian countiesTransmission reductionInfectionDiseaseIncidence
2015
Quantitative analyses and modelling to support achievement of the 2020 goals for nine neglected tropical diseases
Hollingsworth TD, Adams ER, Anderson RM, Atkins K, Bartsch S, Basáñez MG, Behrend M, Blok DJ, Chapman LA, Coffeng L, Courtenay O, Crump RE, de Vlas SJ, Dobson A, Dyson L, Farkas H, Galvani AP, Gambhir M, Gurarie D, Irvine MA, Jervis S, Keeling MJ, Kelly-Hope L, King C, Lee BY, Le Rutte EA, Lietman TM, Ndeffo-Mbah M, Medley GF, Michael E, Pandey A, Peterson JK, Pinsent A, Porco TC, Richardus JH, Reimer L, Rock KS, Singh BK, Stolk W, Swaminathan S, Torr SJ, Townsend J, Truscott J, Walker M, Zoueva A, NTD Modelling Consortium. Quantitative analyses and modelling to support achievement of the 2020 goals for nine neglected tropical diseases. Parasites & Vectors 2015, 8: 630. PMID: 26652272, PMCID: PMC4674954, DOI: 10.1186/s13071-015-1235-1.Peer-Reviewed Reviews, Practice Guidelines, Standards, and Consensus StatementsConceptsTropical diseasesTrue eliminationPublic health problemSoil-transmitted helminthsPersistence of diseaseSuccess of interventionsHigh riskVisceral leishmaniasisDynamics of transmissionHuman African trypanosomiasisHealth problemsEpidemiological settingsDiseaseLymphatic filariasisChagas diseaseControl initiativesAfrican trypanosomiasisInfectionInterventionUrgent needDetailed adviceSchistosomiasisTrachomaLeishmaniasisElimination