2024
Estimated Health and Economic Outcomes of Racial and Ethnic Tuberculosis Disparities in US-Born Persons
Swartwood N, Li Y, Regan M, Marks S, Barham T, Asay G, Cohen T, Hill A, Horsburgh C, Khan A, McCree D, Myles R, Salomon J, Self J, Menzies N. Estimated Health and Economic Outcomes of Racial and Ethnic Tuberculosis Disparities in US-Born Persons. JAMA Network Open 2024, 7: e2431988. PMID: 39254977, PMCID: PMC11388029, DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.31988.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsUS-born personsEthnic disparitiesCase-fatality rateTB deathsTB casesTB incidenceSex-adjusted incidenceNational TB surveillance dataTB surveillance dataQuality-adjusted life yearsDistrict of ColumbiaTB disparitiesHealth outcomesEconomic outcomesFuture healthOutcome of TBUS-bornTB outcomesEstimate healthLife yearsSocietal costsTB burdenSocietal perspectiveGeneralized additive regression modelsGoal attainmentDisparities in Tuberculosis Incidence by Race and Ethnicity Among the U.S.-Born Population in the United States, 2011 to 2021 : An Analysis of National Disease Registry Data.
Li Y, Regan M, Swartwood N, Barham T, Beeler Asay G, Cohen T, Hill A, Horsburgh C, Khan A, Marks S, Myles R, Salomon J, Self J, Menzies N. Disparities in Tuberculosis Incidence by Race and Ethnicity Among the U.S.-Born Population in the United States, 2011 to 2021 : An Analysis of National Disease Registry Data. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2024, 177: 418-427. PMID: 38560914, DOI: 10.7326/m23-2975.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsIncidence rate ratiosNon-Hispanic white personsTB incidence rateRate ratiosIncidence rateTB incidenceSocial determinants of healthRelated disparitiesWhite personsHealth equity goalsU.S.-born populationAbsolute disparityDeterminants of healthTB registry dataRacial/ethnic minority populationsCenters for Disease Control and PreventionDisease Control and PreventionIncidence rate differenceTB casesYoung personControl and PreventionState of residenceAI/AN personsSocial determinantsRacial/ethnic disparities
2023
Tabby2: a user-friendly web tool for forecasting state-level TB outcomes in the United States
Swartwood N, Testa C, Cohen T, Marks S, Hill A, Beeler Asay G, Cochran J, Cranston K, Randall L, Tibbs A, Horsburgh C, Salomon J, Menzies N. Tabby2: a user-friendly web tool for forecasting state-level TB outcomes in the United States. BMC Medicine 2023, 21: 331. PMID: 37649031, PMCID: PMC10469407, DOI: 10.1186/s12916-023-02785-y.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLatent tuberculosis infectionTB outcomesDistrict of ColumbiaTreatment of LTBIIncremental cost-effectiveness ratioTB incidence rateTuberculosis disease burdenQuality-adjusted life yearsCost-effectiveness ratioPublic health agenciesTB casesTB preventionTB incidenceTuberculosis infectionTB epidemiologyDisease burdenIncidence rateService utilizationAdditional interventionsIncidence projectionsLife yearsDemographic dataSocietal perspectiveHealth agenciesPrevention approaches
2022
A spatial-mechanistic model to estimate subnational tuberculosis burden with routinely collected data: An application in Brazilian municipalities
Chitwood M, Alves L, Bartholomay P, Couto R, Sanchez M, Castro M, Cohen T, Menzies N. A spatial-mechanistic model to estimate subnational tuberculosis burden with routinely collected data: An application in Brazilian municipalities. PLOS Global Public Health 2022, 2: e0000725. PMID: 36962578, PMCID: PMC10021638, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0000725.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchPerson/yearTB incidenceCase notificationBurden estimatesIncident TB casesTB case notificationTB control strategiesDisease burden estimatesIncident TBUntreated TBTB casesTuberculosis burdenDisease burdenIncidence rateCase detectionRoutine dataDeath recordsMortality dataIncidenceSubnational estimatesDisease control resourcesBurdenHigh needTBFraction of individualsPhylogeography and transmission of M. tuberculosis in Moldova: A prospective genomic analysis
Yang C, Sobkowiak B, Naidu V, Codreanu A, Ciobanu N, Gunasekera KS, Chitwood MH, Alexandru S, Bivol S, Russi M, Havumaki J, Cudahy P, Fosburgh H, Allender CJ, Centner H, Engelthaler DM, Menzies NA, Warren JL, Crudu V, Colijn C, Cohen T. Phylogeography and transmission of M. tuberculosis in Moldova: A prospective genomic analysis. PLOS Medicine 2022, 19: e1003933. PMID: 35192619, PMCID: PMC8903246, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003933.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMultidrug-resistant tuberculosisDrug-resistant M. tuberculosisM. tuberculosis strainsPutative transmission clustersM. tuberculosisTransmission clustersMultidrug-resistant M. tuberculosis strainsTuberculosis strainsMultiple M. tuberculosis strainsCulture-positive TB casesLocal transmissionMDR-TB epidemicDrug-susceptible tuberculosisDrug resistance mutationsDrug resistance profilesUrgency of interventionTB casesDemographic dataNew casesTuberculosisInadequate treatmentNatural historyResistance mutationsBeijing lineageMycobacterium tuberculosisSpatially targeted digital chest radiography to reduce tuberculosis in high-burden settings: A study of adaptive decision making
de Villiers AK, Dye C, Yaesoubi R, Cohen T, Marx FM. Spatially targeted digital chest radiography to reduce tuberculosis in high-burden settings: A study of adaptive decision making. Epidemics 2022, 38: 100540. PMID: 35093849, PMCID: PMC8983993, DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100540.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHigh-burden settingsTB casesTB prevalenceChest radiographyAdditional TB casesCase-finding yieldTB prevalence estimatesHigh-burden populationsCommunity-randomized trialNumber of screeningsTB controlXpert UltraScreening roundNotification ratesPrevalence estimatesTuberculosisPrevalenceDigital chest radiographyScreeningTrialsInterventionRadiography
2021
Evolution and emergence of multidrug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Chisinau, Moldova
Brown TS, Eldholm V, Brynildsrud O, Osnes M, Levy N, Stimson J, Colijn C, Alexandru S, Noroc E, Ciobanu N, Crudu V, Cohen T, Mathema B. Evolution and emergence of multidrug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Chisinau, Moldova. Microbial Genomics 2021, 7: 000620. PMID: 34431762, PMCID: PMC8549355, DOI: 10.1099/mgen.0.000620.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsDrug-resistant TB casesMultidrug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosisDrug-resistant tuberculosisDrug resistance mutationsPopulation size expansionPublic health practiceSoviet UnionSocial turmoilTB patientsTB casesTB controlRepublic of MoldovaInpatient hospitalizationMigration historyInpatient treatmentEastern EuropeNational guidelinesEpidemiological historyResistance mutationsHealth practicesGenomic surveillance effortsCapital cityMycobacterium tuberculosisTuberculosisMoldovaTrends, Mechanisms, and Racial/Ethnic Differences of Tuberculosis Incidence in the US-Born Population Aged 50 Years or Older in the United States
Kim S, Cohen T, Horsburgh CR, Miller JW, Hill AN, Marks SM, Li R, Kammerer JS, Salomon JA, Menzies NA. Trends, Mechanisms, and Racial/Ethnic Differences of Tuberculosis Incidence in the US-Born Population Aged 50 Years or Older in the United States. Clinical Infectious Diseases 2021, 74: 1594-1603. PMID: 34323959, PMCID: PMC8799750, DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciab668.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAnnual percentage declineIncidence rateRemote infectionBirth cohortOlder individualsPercentage declineUS National TB Surveillance SystemAverage annual percentage declineNational TB Surveillance SystemRace/ethnicity strataTB incidence rateTB surveillance systemLow-incidence settingsEthnic differencesEarlier birth cohortsRecent birth cohortsRace/ethnicityOverall cohortTB casesTB incidenceIncidence settingsRecent infectionTB ratesTuberculosis incidenceRisk factorsThe positive externalities of migrant-based TB control strategy in a Chinese urban population with internal migration: a transmission-dynamic modeling study
Yang C, Kang J, Lu L, Guo X, Shen X, Cohen T, Menzies NA. The positive externalities of migrant-based TB control strategy in a Chinese urban population with internal migration: a transmission-dynamic modeling study. BMC Medicine 2021, 19: 95. PMID: 33874940, PMCID: PMC8055441, DOI: 10.1186/s12916-021-01968-9.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTB casesTB incidenceNew TB casesTB control strategiesEpidemiology of tuberculosisMeaningful health benefitsChinese urban populationMolecular epidemiologic studiesTransmission dynamic modelSongjiang DistrictRecent infectionTB interventionsTB transmissionTB notificationsEpidemiological featuresPreventive treatmentActive screeningEpidemiologic studiesLatent infectionTB policyDemographic dataIndirect protectionTuberculosisEpidemiological driversLocal transmissionBayesian evidence synthesis to estimate subnational TB incidence: An application in Brazil
Chitwood MH, Pelissari DM, da Silva G, Bartholomay P, Rocha MS, Sanchez M, Arakaki-Sanchez D, Glaziou P, Cohen T, Castro MC, Menzies NA. Bayesian evidence synthesis to estimate subnational TB incidence: An application in Brazil. Epidemics 2021, 35: 100443. PMID: 33676092, PMCID: PMC8252152, DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100443.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTB incidenceFraction of casesUntreated active diseaseIncident TB casesTB control programsLocal disease burdenIncident TBActive diseaseTB burdenTB casesTB outcomesTB notificationsDisease burdenBayesian evidence synthesisCase detectionIncidenceEvidence synthesisAverage annual increaseControl programsBurdenAnnual rateAnnual increaseFraction of individualsAverage annual rateSources of bias
2020
Evaluation of 6-Month Versus Continuous Isoniazid Preventive Therapy for Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Adults Living With HIV/AIDS in Malawi.
Hsieh YL, Jahn A, Menzies NA, Yaesoubi R, Salomon JA, Girma B, Gunde L, Eaton JW, Auld A, Odo M, Kiyiika CN, Kalua T, Chiwandira B, Mpunga JU, Mbendra K, Corbett L, Hosseinipour MC, Cohen T, Kunkel A. Evaluation of 6-Month Versus Continuous Isoniazid Preventive Therapy for Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Adults Living With HIV/AIDS in Malawi. JAIDS Journal Of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes 2020, 85: 643-650. PMID: 33177475, PMCID: PMC8564780, DOI: 10.1097/qai.0000000000002497.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsIsoniazid preventive therapyIPT programIPT strategyPreventive therapyContinuous isoniazid preventive therapyMore TB casesHIV-positive adultsCases of tuberculosisAnticipated health effectsComparable health benefitsHIV/AIDSCause deathAntiretroviral therapyTB casesTB controlTB incidenceDrug costsMalawi MinistryMean reductionTuberculosisMycobacterium tuberculosisTherapyAnticipated health impactsHealth effectsHealth benefitsImpact of Effective Global Tuberculosis Control on Health and Economic Outcomes in the United States
Menzies NA, Bellerose M, Testa C, Swartwood N, Malyuta Y, Cohen T, Marks SM, Hill AN, Date AA, Maloney SA, Bowden SE, Grills AW, Salomon JA. Impact of Effective Global Tuberculosis Control on Health and Economic Outcomes in the United States. American Journal Of Respiratory And Critical Care Medicine 2020, 202: 1567-1575. PMID: 32645277, PMCID: PMC7706168, DOI: 10.1164/rccm.202003-0526oc.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsGlobal TB controlTB incidence trendsEnd TB StrategyTB controlTB casesIncidence trendsEconomic burdenWorld Health Organization's End TB StrategyTB incidence rateGlobal tuberculosis controlHigh-burden countriesTotal economic burdenMajor health benefitsBase case scenarioBirth countryTB incidenceTB epidemiologyTuberculosis controlTB StrategyIncidence rateHealthcare costsIncidence reductionInfection riskTuberculosisSubstantial healthTime Since Infection and Risks of Future Disease for Individuals with Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection in the United States
Menzies NA, Swartwood N, Testa C, Malyuta Y, Hill AN, Marks SM, Cohen T, Salomon JA. Time Since Infection and Risks of Future Disease for Individuals with Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection in the United States. Epidemiology 2020, 32: 70-78. PMID: 33009253, PMCID: PMC7707158, DOI: 10.1097/ede.0000000000001271.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLatent TB infectionMycobacterium tuberculosis infectionTB infectionTuberculosis infectionTB natural historyRisk of tuberculosisMost TB casesRate of progressionYounger age groupsLower future riskTransmission dynamic modelTB casesTB riskPrevalent infectionProgression riskLifetime riskRisk factorsIncidence trendsClinical diseaseCumulative riskGeneral populationAverage ageNew infectionsUS populationAge groupsOngoing challenges to understanding multidrug- and rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis in children versus adults
McQuaid CF, Cohen T, Dean AS, Houben RMGJ, Knight GM, Zignol M, White RG. Ongoing challenges to understanding multidrug- and rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis in children versus adults. European Respiratory Journal 2020, 57: 2002504. PMID: 32855219, DOI: 10.1183/13993003.02504-2020.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMDR/RR-TBRR-TBOdds ratioPediatric TB casesGlobal TB epidemicRifampicin-resistant tuberculosisPopulation-representative surveyTB casesBurden countriesTB epidemicMost settingsTuberculosisDrug resistanceTransmission riskCountry-specific estimatesAdultsChildrenAgeFurther investigationMultidrugOddsFormer Soviet Union countriesSufficient dataSettingSoviet Union countriesTransmission Modeling with Regression Adjustment for Analyzing Household-based Studies of Infectious Disease: Application to Tuberculosis.
Crawford FW, Marx FM, Zelner J, Cohen T. Transmission Modeling with Regression Adjustment for Analyzing Household-based Studies of Infectious Disease: Application to Tuberculosis. Epidemiology 2020, 31: 238-247. PMID: 31764276, PMCID: PMC7718772, DOI: 10.1097/ede.0000000000001143.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSusceptible household contactsHousehold contactsTB casesBacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccinationInfected household contactsIsoniazid preventive therapyActive tuberculosis casesCulture-positive casesRisk of diseaseCohort studyMicrobiological confirmationPreventive therapyTuberculosis casesRisk factorsInfection resultsAdult contactsInfection riskInfectious diseasesLogistic regressionRate of transmissionTransmissible diseasesDiseaseIndividual-level characteristicsHigher hazardDisease susceptibilityYield, Efficiency, and Costs of Mass Screening Algorithms for Tuberculosis in Brazilian Prisons
da Silva Santos A, de Oliveira R, Lemos EF, Lima F, Cohen T, Cords O, Martinez L, Gonçalves C, Ko A, Andrews JR, Croda J. Yield, Efficiency, and Costs of Mass Screening Algorithms for Tuberculosis in Brazilian Prisons. Clinical Infectious Diseases 2020, 72: 771-777. PMID: 32064514, PMCID: PMC7935388, DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa135.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsXpert MTB/RIFMTB/RIFChest radiographySputum Xpert MTB/RIFHigh TB burden countriesFourth-generation assaysScreening algorithmTB burden countriesSputum testingTB casesTB screeningBurden countriesProspective studySputum testSymptom assessmentChest radiographsScreening testPositivity thresholdMass screeningTuberculosisMore casesDiagnostic algorithmDiagnostic testsMajor causeScreening strategyComparative Modeling of Tuberculosis Epidemiology and Policy Outcomes in California
Menzies NA, Parriott A, Shrestha S, Dowdy DW, Cohen T, Salomon JA, Marks SM, Hill AN, Winston CA, Asay GR, Barry P, Readhead A, Flood J, Kahn JG, Shete PB. Comparative Modeling of Tuberculosis Epidemiology and Policy Outcomes in California. American Journal Of Respiratory And Critical Care Medicine 2020, 201: 356-365. PMID: 31626560, PMCID: PMC7464931, DOI: 10.1164/rccm.201907-1289oc.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTB incidenceTB casesAdditional interventionsTuberculosis epidemiologyPublic health prioritizationTreatment of LTBIInfection control interventionsPotential intervention effectsLTBI testingTB servicesLTBI diagnosisLTBI prevalenceAverage annual declineEpidemiologic projectionsSustained reductionTreatment interventionsControl interventionsTB determinantsDefinitive dataIntervention effectsAnnual declineLocal transmissionIncidenceLTBIIntervention
2019
Notification of relapse and other previously treated tuberculosis in the 52 health districts of South Africa
Marx F, Cohen T, Lombard C, Hesseling A, Dlamini S, Beyers N, Naidoo P. Notification of relapse and other previously treated tuberculosis in the 52 health districts of South Africa. The International Journal Of Tuberculosis And Lung Disease 2019, 23: 891-899. PMID: 31533878, DOI: 10.5588/ijtld.18.0609.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSouth African health districtTB casesCase notification ratesHealth districtTB burdenNotification ratesHigh case notification ratesHIV co-infection rateHuman immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevalenceTB case notification ratesAntenatal HIV prevalenceSecondary preventive therapyDrug-susceptible tuberculosisNew TB casesCo-infection rateTreatment history informationPreventive therapyMultivariable analysisHIV prevalenceSouth African districtPatient categoriesRelapseTuberculosisTreatment monitoringVirus prevalenceDisparities in access to diagnosis and care in Blantyre, Malawi, identified through enhanced tuberculosis surveillance and spatial analysis
MacPherson P, Khundi M, Nliwasa M, Choko AT, Phiri VK, Webb EL, Dodd PJ, Cohen T, Harris R, Corbett EL. Disparities in access to diagnosis and care in Blantyre, Malawi, identified through enhanced tuberculosis surveillance and spatial analysis. BMC Medicine 2019, 17: 21. PMID: 30691470, PMCID: PMC6350280, DOI: 10.1186/s12916-019-1260-6.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTB case notification ratesCase notification ratesCommunity health workersNotification ratesTB casesLow case detectionSingle sputum sampleInverse care lawArea-level factorsTB registrationTB clinicTB patientsClinical characteristicsTB diagnosisTuberculosis casesResultsIn totalTB surveillanceCase detectionModifiable predictorsSputum samplesHealth workersTB officersTB microscopyAdjusted modelTuberculosis surveillanceEvaluating strategies for control of tuberculosis in prisons and prevention of spillover into communities: An observational and modeling study from Brazil
Mabud TS, de Lourdes Delgado Alves M, Ko AI, Basu S, Walter KS, Cohen T, Mathema B, Colijn C, Lemos E, Croda J, Andrews JR. Evaluating strategies for control of tuberculosis in prisons and prevention of spillover into communities: An observational and modeling study from Brazil. PLOS Medicine 2019, 16: e1002737. PMID: 30677013, PMCID: PMC6345418, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002737.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsIncidence of TBPrison-based interventionsTB incidenceGeneral populationTB casesCox proportional hazards modelNew TB casesControl of tuberculosisProportional hazards modelPaucity of dataTime of incarcerationTB burdenTB screeningTB riskTB transmissionTB ratesTB epidemicAdministrative databasesCommunity incidenceTuberculosis epidemicHazards modelTB databaseIncidenceEpidemiological contextIntervention