Featured Publications
Climate change increases cross-species viral transmission risk
Carlson C, Albery G, Merow C, Trisos C, Zipfel C, Eskew E, Olival K, Ross N, Bansal S. Climate change increases cross-species viral transmission risk. Nature 2022, 607: 555-562. PMID: 35483403, DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-04788-w.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsViral sharingRange shiftsRange shifts of speciesHuman population densityGeographic range shiftsUnique dispersal abilityLand-use scenariosShifts of speciesGlobal environmental changeGeographically isolated speciesBiodiversity surveysBiodiversity hotspotHolding warmingMammal speciesDispersal abilityLand-useLand usePotential hotspotsClimate-changePopulation densityCross-species transmissionPhylogeographic modelsEnvironmental changesEcological transitionVirus species
2024
Reconstructing 120 years of climate change impacts on Joshua tree flowering
Yoder J, Andrade A, DeFalco L, Esque T, Carlson C, Shryock D, Yeager R, Smith C. Reconstructing 120 years of climate change impacts on Joshua tree flowering. Ecology Letters 2024, 27: e14478. PMID: 39092581, DOI: 10.1111/ele.14478.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsClimate change impactsJoshua treesChange impactsMasting eventsWild populationsClimate change effectsDrought stressFlowering eventsTree flowersFlowersMojave DesertChange effectsAnnual precipitationIncreased variationWeather recordsNegative impactHistorical recordsTreesClimateSystematic datasetPerennialsBiodiversitySpeciesAfter millions of preventable deaths, climate change must be treated like a health emergency
Carlson C. After millions of preventable deaths, climate change must be treated like a health emergency. Nature Medicine 2024, 30: 622-622. PMID: 38291300, DOI: 10.1038/s41591-023-02765-y.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2023
Rapid range shifts in African Anopheles mosquitoes over the last century
Carlson C, Bannon E, Mendenhall E, Newfield T, Bansal S. Rapid range shifts in African Anopheles mosquitoes over the last century. Biology Letters 2023, 19: 20220365. PMID: 36789530, PMCID: PMC9929507, DOI: 10.1098/rsbl.2022.0365.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2022
Solar geoengineering could redistribute malaria risk in developing countries
Carlson C, Colwell R, Hossain M, Rahman M, Robock A, Ryan S, Alam M, Trisos C. Solar geoengineering could redistribute malaria risk in developing countries. Nature Communications 2022, 13: 2150. PMID: 35444178, PMCID: PMC9021229, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-29613-w.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2021
Plague risk in the western United States over seven decades of environmental change
Carlson C, Bevins S, Schmid B. Plague risk in the western United States over seven decades of environmental change. Global Change Biology 2021, 28: 753-769. PMID: 34796590, PMCID: PMC9299200, DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15966.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAnimalsClimate ChangePlagueRodentiaSeroepidemiologic StudiesUnited StatesYersinia pestisConceptsWestern United StatesRodent communitiesSpillover riskRodent species richnessEnvironmental changesImpacts of climate changeClimate change impactsInfectious disease distributionsLong-term persistenceSpecies richnessMid-elevationsSoil biochemistryChange impactsDisease geographyChanging climateLong-term trendsClimate changePlague reservoirsReservoirs of plagueWildlife reservoirsSpillover eventsInterannual variationsPlague ecologyClimateHuman casesClimate and health: An evolving relationship
Carlson C, Torres Codeço C, Brauer M, Evengård B, Cai W, de la Fuente J, Rautio A. Climate and health: An evolving relationship. Med 2021, 2: 344-347. PMID: 35590154, DOI: 10.1016/j.medj.2021.03.007.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2020
A choice between two futures for pandemic recovery
Carlson C, Phelan A. A choice between two futures for pandemic recovery. The Lancet Planetary Health 2020, 4: e545-e546. PMID: 33278368, PMCID: PMC7713705, DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(20)30245-x.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2019
Global expansion and redistribution of Aedes-borne virus transmission risk with climate change
Ryan S, Carlson C, Mordecai E, Johnson L. Global expansion and redistribution of Aedes-borne virus transmission risk with climate change. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 2019, 13: e0007213. PMID: 30921321, PMCID: PMC6438455, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007213.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2017
Parasite biodiversity faces extinction and redistribution in a changing climate
Carlson C, Burgio K, Dougherty E, Phillips A, Bueno V, Clements C, Castaldo G, Dallas T, Cizauskas C, Cumming G, Doña J, Harris N, Jovani R, Mironov S, Muellerklein O, Proctor H, Getz W. Parasite biodiversity faces extinction and redistribution in a changing climate. Science Advances 2017, 3: e1602422. PMID: 28913417, PMCID: PMC5587099, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1602422.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsChanging climateExtinction ratesClimate-driven habitat lossClimate changeLocal extinction ratesSpatially explicit dataEstimate extinction ratesNegative impacts of climate changeImpacts of climate changeHabitat lossNative speciesEcological consequencesWildlife extinctionTemperate ecosystemsExplicit dataParasite richnessGeographic rangeFace extinctionParasite diversityDisease emergenceIndirect pressureModel projectionsParasite speciesClimateSpecies
2016
An Ecological Assessment of the Pandemic Threat of Zika Virus
Carlson C, Dougherty E, Getz W. An Ecological Assessment of the Pandemic Threat of Zika Virus. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 2016, 10: e0004968. PMID: 27564232, PMCID: PMC5001720, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004968.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsEcological niche modelsSignificant evolutionary changeEcological nichesNiche modelsGenetic shiftNative rangeSeasonality of precipitationEvolutionary changesDiurnal temperature fluctuationsEcological assessmentOccurrence datasetNorthward expansionDistribution of dengue feverHuman healthPotential establishmentClimate changeSevere threatVector speciesZika virusOutbreak of Zika virusPathogensClimatic eventsOutbreak of casesNicheNorth America
2013
The More Parasites, the Better?
Carlson C, Cizauskas C, Burgio K, Clements C, Harris N. The More Parasites, the Better? Science 2013, 342: 1041-1041. PMID: 24288315, DOI: 10.1126/science.342.6162.1041-a.Peer-Reviewed Original Research