2025
Modeling the Impact of Smoking on Mortality in Argentina From 2000 to 2100. A Maximum Potential Reduction in Premature Mortality Analysis
Salgado M, Cao P, Jeon J, Sanchez-Romero L, Holford T, Levy D, Tam J, Mejia R, Meza R. Modeling the Impact of Smoking on Mortality in Argentina From 2000 to 2100. A Maximum Potential Reduction in Premature Mortality Analysis. Nicotine & Tobacco Research 2025, ntaf117. PMID: 40448284, DOI: 10.1093/ntr/ntaf117.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchSmoking-attributable deathsTobacco control interventionsSmoking-attributable mortalitySmoking prevalenceControl interventionsLife yearsAdult smoking prevalenceSmoking-related mortalityPremature deathBurden of smokingPotential health gainsReduce smoking ratesPublic health effortsYears of lifeImpact of smokingSmoking trendsPopulation healthSmoking ratesHealth effortsHealth gainsPremature mortalityModel of cigarette smokeMortality burdenBirth cohortStatus quo scenarioAll-Cause Mortality and Life Expectancy by Birth Cohort Across US States
Holford T, McKay L, Tam J, Jeon J, Meza R. All-Cause Mortality and Life Expectancy by Birth Cohort Across US States. JAMA Network Open 2025, 8: e257695. PMID: 40293748, PMCID: PMC12038512, DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.7695.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsBirth cohortYears of ageLife expectancyAge-period-cohort modelNational Center for Health StatisticsCenter for Health StatisticsCenters for Disease Control and PreventionUS mortality ratesDisease Control and PreventionPublic health interventionsCohort-specific patternsCohort life expectancyLower life expectancyControl and PreventionAll-Cause MortalityUS statesMortality rateOnline dataMortality trendsHealth interventionsHealth StatisticsMortality dataAll-CauseMain OutcomesCohort studyEstimation of Cancer Deaths Averted From Prevention, Screening, and Treatment Efforts, 1975-2020
Goddard K, Feuer E, Mandelblatt J, Meza R, Holford T, Jeon J, Lansdorp-Vogelaar I, Gulati R, Stout N, Howlader N, Knudsen A, Miller D, Caswell-Jin J, Schechter C, Etzioni R, Trentham-Dietz A, Kurian A, Plevritis S, Hampton J, Stein S, Sun L, Umar A, Castle P. Estimation of Cancer Deaths Averted From Prevention, Screening, and Treatment Efforts, 1975-2020. JAMA Oncology 2025, 11: 162-167. PMID: 39636625, PMCID: PMC11622066, DOI: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2024.5381.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCancer mortality dataCancer sitesCancer deathMortality dataCancer preventionRemoval of precancerous polypsSmoking reductionCancer control continuumColorectal cancer deathsSurveillance Modeling NetworkBreast cancer deathsLung cancer deathsCervical cancer deathsContribution of preventionScreening uptakeEffectiveness of preventionPrecancerous polypsControl continuumCancer incidenceMultiple birth cohortsCancer mortalityCancer burdenDissemination of effective interventionsCancer survivalMain OutcomesEstimating the impact of cigarette smoking on life expectancy from 1950 to 2000
Holford T. Estimating the impact of cigarette smoking on life expectancy from 1950 to 2000. Open Access Government 2025, 46: 43-45. DOI: 10.56367/oag-046-11540.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchImpact of cigarette smokingLife expectancyCigarette smokingUniversity School of Public HealthSchool of Public HealthSurveillance Modeling NetworkEstimates of initiationCessation probabilitiesSmoker prevalenceSmoking behaviorCancer interventionSmokingPublic healthCISNETDepartment of BiostatisticsLifeU.S.Expectations
2024
US Tobacco 21 Policies and Potential Mortality Reductions by State
Tam J, Crippen A, Friedman A, Jeon J, Colston D, Fleischer N, Vander Woude C, Boelter M, Holford T, Levy D, Meza R. US Tobacco 21 Policies and Potential Mortality Reductions by State. JAMA Health Forum 2024, 5: e244445. PMID: 39705045, PMCID: PMC11662258, DOI: 10.1001/jamahealthforum.2024.4445.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPotential mortality reductionT21 policiesMortality reductionPremature deathEstimate smoking-attributable deathsLife yearsT21 lawsSmoking-attributable deathsTobacco-21 policiesPremature mortality reductionQuasi-experimental studyPolicy coverageState-specific dataDistrict of ColumbiaMortality rateTobacco 21Smoking cessationMain OutcomesSmoking initiationBirth cohortTobacco productsSmoking behaviorStatewide implementationCigarette policiesSmokingUpdated CP*Trends: an online tool to compare cohort and period trends across cancer sites
Holford T, Chen H, Kane M, Krapcho M, Annett D, Esclamado L, Melkonyan A, Feuer E. Updated CP*Trends: an online tool to compare cohort and period trends across cancer sites. American Journal Of Epidemiology 2024, 194: 2144-2149. PMID: 39475089, PMCID: PMC12342953, DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwae398.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCancer sitesAfrican AmericansCervical cancer incidence trendsCancer incidence trendsMortality trendsCancer incidenceIncidence trendsEffect of cohortConfidence intervalsPeriod effectsInteractive websiteCohortAmericanSample sizeScoresWhiteEffects of periodMortalityCancerC-P scoreBootstrap confidence intervalsIncidenceSEERWebsitesTrendsChanging patterns of cigarette and ENDS transitions in the USA: a multistate transition analysis of adults in the PATH Study in 2017–2019 vs 2019–2021
Brouwer A, Jeon J, Jimenez-Mendoza E, Land S, Holford T, Friedman A, Tam J, Mistry R, Levy D, Meza R. Changing patterns of cigarette and ENDS transitions in the USA: a multistate transition analysis of adults in the PATH Study in 2017–2019 vs 2019–2021. Tobacco Control 2024, tc-2023-058453. PMID: 39174323, PMCID: PMC12080509, DOI: 10.1136/tc-2023-058453.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchElectronic nicotine delivery systemsPopulation Assessment of Tobacco and Health StudyLung injury outbreakAge groupsDual usePatterns of cigaretteNicotine delivery systemsENDS initiationAdult age groupsDual usersCigarette initiationPublic health implicationsHealth StudyCigaretteMultistate transition modelDelivery systemAdultsHealth implicationsSmoking patterns by birth cohort in Argentina: an age-period-cohort population-based modeling study
Salgado M, Mok Y, Jeon J, Jaffri M, Tam J, Holford T, Sánchez-Romero L, Meza R, Mejia R. Smoking patterns by birth cohort in Argentina: an age-period-cohort population-based modeling study. The Lancet Regional Health - Americas 2024, 36: 100823. PMID: 39006127, PMCID: PMC11246057, DOI: 10.1016/j.lana.2024.100823.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCurrent smoking prevalenceSmoking prevalenceBirth cohortSmoking initiationCessation probabilitiesPopulation-based modelling studyTobacco control measuresRecent birth cohortsRate of quittingNationally Representative SurveySmoking ratesSmoking patternsYears of ageRepresentative surveySurveillance modelCancer interventionSmokingSmoking historyPrevalenceCohortGroup ageBirthInterventionCessationAgeModeling cigarette smoking exposure in subsets of the population
Holford T. Modeling cigarette smoking exposure in subsets of the population. Open Access Government 2024, 44: 186-187. DOI: 10.56367/oag-044-11540.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCigarette smokingClean air lawsPublic health interventionsPublic health challengeTobacco controlHealth interventionsTobacco useGeographic disparitiesAir lawsPopulation's understandingHealth challengesSmoke exposureEffects of cigarette smokingShorten lifePublic healthSmokingLevels of exposureCigaretteProtect public healthTobaccoNational levelLegal ageCigarette smoke exposureIncreased costsPopulationCigarette smoking focus: A modeling approach for estimating the impact of health programs
Holford T. Cigarette smoking focus: A modeling approach for estimating the impact of health programs. Open Access Government 2024, 43: 82-83. DOI: 10.56367/oag-043-11502.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2023
Correction: Distinct germline genetic susceptibility profiles identified for common non-Hodgkin lymphoma subtypes
Berndt S, Vijai J, Benavente Y, Camp N, Nieters A, Wang Z, Smedby K, Kleinstern G, Hjalgrim H, Besson C, Skibola C, Morton L, Brooks-Wilson A, Teras L, Breeze C, Arias J, Adami H, Albanes D, Anderson K, Ansell S, Bassig B, Becker N, Bhatti P, Birmann B, Boffetta P, Bracci P, Brennan P, Brown E, Burdett L, Cannon-Albright L, Chang E, Chiu B, Chung C, Clavel J, Cocco P, Colditz G, Conde L, Conti D, Cox D, Curtin K, Casabonne D, De Vivo I, Diepstra A, Diver W, Dogan A, Edlund C, Foretova L, Fraumeni J, Gabbas A, Ghesquières H, Giles G, Glaser S, Glenn M, Glimelius B, Gu J, Habermann T, Haiman C, Haioun C, Hofmann J, Holford T, Holly E, Hutchinson A, Izhar A, Jackson R, Jarrett R, Kaaks R, Kane E, Kolonel L, Kong Y, Kraft P, Kricker A, Lake A, Lan Q, Lawrence C, Li D, Liebow M, Link B, Magnani C, Maynadie M, McKay J, Melbye M, Miligi L, Milne R, Molina T, Monnereau A, Montalvan R, North K, Novak A, Onel K, Purdue M, Rand K, Riboli E, Riby J, Roman E, Salles G, Sborov D, Severson R, Shanafelt T, Smith M, Smith A, Song K, Song L, Southey M, Spinelli J, Staines A, Stephens D, Sutherland H, Tkachuk K, Thompson C, Tilly H, Tinker L, Travis R, Turner J, Vachon C, Vajdic C, Van Den Berg A, Van Den Berg D, Vermeulen R, Vineis P, Wang S, Weiderpass E, Weiner G, Weinstein S, Doo N, Ye Y, Yeager M, Yu K, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte A, Zhang Y, Zheng T, Ziv E, Sampson J, Chatterjee N, Offit K, Cozen W, Wu X, Cerhan J, Chanock S, Slager S, Rothman N. Correction: Distinct germline genetic susceptibility profiles identified for common non-Hodgkin lymphoma subtypes. Leukemia 2023, 37: 2142-2142. PMID: 37666943, DOI: 10.1038/s41375-023-01978-x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchSummary and Concluding Remarks: Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories
Levy D, Tam J, Jeon J, Holford T, Fleischer N, Meza R. Summary and Concluding Remarks: Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s72-s79. PMID: 36935130, PMCID: PMC11193149, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.12.007.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRace/ethnicitySmoking patternsCohort methodologyTobacco control strategiesMortality RRSmoking historyMiddle-income countriesWorking GroupSmoking trendsHealth disparitiesCancer interventionTobacco controlCohort approachPublic healthEducation groupFamily incomeGroupEthnicitySociodemographic analysisSmokingEducational attainmentChanging patterns of cigarette and ENDS transitions in the USA: a multistate transition analysis of youth and adults in the PATH Study in 2015–2017 vs 2017–2019
Brouwer A, Jeon J, Jimenez-Mendoza E, Land S, Holford T, Friedman A, Tam J, Mistry R, Levy D, Meza R. Changing patterns of cigarette and ENDS transitions in the USA: a multistate transition analysis of youth and adults in the PATH Study in 2015–2017 vs 2017–2019. Tobacco Control 2023, 33: 570-579. PMID: 36977570, PMCID: PMC10533746, DOI: 10.1136/tc-2022-057905.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchUsing the Past to Understand the Future of U.S. and Global Smoking Disparities: A Birth Cohort Perspective
Tam J, Levy D, Feuer E, Jeon J, Holford T, Meza R. Using the Past to Understand the Future of U.S. and Global Smoking Disparities: A Birth Cohort Perspective. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s1-s10. PMID: 36781373, PMCID: PMC10033336, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.12.003.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchPatterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories in Brazil
Tam J, Jaffri M, Mok Y, Jeon J, Szklo A, Souza M, Holford T, Levy D, Cao P, Sánchez-Romero L, Meza R. Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories in Brazil. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s63-s71. PMID: 36775755, PMCID: PMC10240503, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.12.002.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMean cigarettesBirth cohortSmoker prevalenceSmoking patternsLong-term health outcomesGlobal Adult Tobacco SurveyAdult Tobacco SurveyNational Health SurveyStronger tobacco control policiesTobacco control policiesSmoking historySmoking cessationPublic health decisionsSmoking prevalenceRisk factorsChronic diseasesHealth SurveyTobacco useSmoking initiationHealth outcomesFemale cohortCohortTobacco SurveyTelephone interviewsSmoking parametersSmoking Histories by State in the U.S.
Holford T, McKay L, Jeon J, Tam J, Cao P, Fleischer N, Levy D, Meza R. Smoking Histories by State in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s42-s52. PMID: 36653233, PMCID: PMC11186469, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.08.018.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPack yearsSmoking historySmoking prevalenceBirth cohortSmoking initiationNational Health Interview SurveyMean smoking durationHealth Interview SurveyTobacco Use SupplementRecent birth cohortsTobacco control policiesCessation probabilitiesCigarette smokingSmoking trendsSmoking durationSmoking ratesState-specific trendsPrevalenceTobacco controlInterview SurveyCohortCessationDurationInitiationYearsBirth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Patterns by Family Income in the U.S.
Jeon J, Cao P, Fleischer N, Levy D, Holford T, Meza R, Tam J. Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Patterns by Family Income in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s32-s41. PMID: 36653231, PMCID: PMC11186479, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.07.019.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsFederal poverty levelBirth cohortSmoking patternsSmoking prevalenceFamily incomeRecent cohortsRecent birth cohortsHigh-income groupsCessation probabilitiesLower cessationPoverty levelCohortMore recent cohortsSmoking disparitiesPrevalenceIncome groupsIntervention strategiesCohort modelOlder cohortGreater declineLevel groupLow-income individualsCessationCohort differencesFuture studiesPatterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories by Race and Ethnicity in the U.S.
Meza R, Cao P, Jeon J, Fleischer N, Holford T, Levy D, Tam J. Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories by Race and Ethnicity in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s11-s21. PMID: 36653232, PMCID: PMC10362802, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.06.022.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAmerican IndiansBlack populationCessation probabilitiesNative populationsRace/ethnicityNon-Hispanic white populationNon-Hispanic black populationPacific IslandersBirth cohortNon-Hispanic whitesAlaskan Native populationsWhite populationSmoking prevalenceIndiansNational Health Interview SurveyU.S. smoking prevalenceAlaskan NativesPatterns of smokingHealth Interview SurveyNon-Hispanic blacksIslandersNative individualsNon-Hispanic AsiansNativesSmoking historySmoking Disparities by Level of Educational Attainment and Birth Cohort in the U.S.
Cao P, Jeon J, Tam J, Fleischer N, Levy D, Holford T, Meza R. Smoking Disparities by Level of Educational Attainment and Birth Cohort in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s22-s31. PMID: 36935129, PMCID: PMC10177656, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.06.021.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsBirth cohortSmoking patternsRecent cohortsEducation groupCurrent smoking prevalenceEducation levelGrade educationCessation probabilitiesSmoking prevalenceTobacco useLow prevalenceCohortSmoking disparitiesDemographic characteristicsPrevalenceCohort modelCollege degreeCalendar yearDemographic factorsCessationGroupSpecial considerationDisparitiesIndividualsImportant differences
2020
Serum polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) levels and risk of testicular germ cell tumors: a population-based case-control study in Connecticut and Massachusetts
Cheng Z, Zhang X, Bassig B, Hauser R, Holford T, Zheng E, Shi D, Zhu Y, Schwartz S, Chen C, Shi K, Qian Z, Boyle P, Zheng T. Serum polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) levels and risk of testicular germ cell tumors: a population-based case-control study in Connecticut and Massachusetts. ISEE Conference Abstracts 2020, 2020 DOI: 10.1289/isee.2020.virtual.o-os-525.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
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