2025
Selecting subpopulations for causal inference in regression discontinuity designs
Forastiere L, Mattei A, Pescarini J, Barreto M, Mealli F. Selecting subpopulations for causal inference in regression discontinuity designs. The Annals Of Applied Statistics 2025, 19: 1801-1825. DOI: 10.1214/24-aoas1980.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchBolsa Familia ProgramAverage treatment effectRegression discontinuityRD assumptionsBrazilian householdsCausal effectsSubpopulation membershipRegression discontinuity designConditional cash transfer programFinite mixture approachCausal inferenceBayesian mixture modelling approachShort-term povertyLong-term povertyCash transfer programPotential outcomes approachCutoff ruleDiscontinuity designRD designHuman capitalCausal estimandsCash transfersLocal regression methodCausal risk differenceSocial programs
2018
Estimating Causal Effects on Social Networks
Forastiere L, Mealli F, Wu A, Airoldi E. Estimating Causal Effects on Social Networks. 2018, 00: 60-69. DOI: 10.1109/dsaa.2018.00016.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchPosterior distributionPropensity score estimationBayesian procedureObserved networkStructural assumptionsNeighborhood treatmentsGeneralized propensity scoreNeighborhood interferenceRandom effectsSpline regressionNeighbor treatmentsCausal estimandsCommunity detection algorithmsScore estimationConnected unitsEstimationModel feedbackAssumptionUnmeasured confounding variables
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